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📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Matthew Lyons 8.1% 8.6% 9.9% 7.5% 8.8% 7.6% 9.3% 9.1% 8.4% 6.2% 6.5% 5.7% 3.1% 1.2%
Allyson Donahue 15.0% 14.5% 12.4% 10.9% 10.6% 8.8% 8.1% 7.4% 4.1% 3.7% 2.0% 1.8% 0.5% 0.2%
Ravi Parent 12.7% 12.6% 11.4% 9.7% 10.0% 9.7% 9.0% 7.2% 6.2% 5.8% 2.8% 1.4% 1.2% 0.3%
Casey Klingler 9.2% 10.0% 11.7% 8.7% 9.4% 9.9% 9.2% 6.3% 6.8% 7.4% 6.6% 2.6% 1.8% 0.4%
Matthew Coughlin 7.3% 9.1% 9.6% 10.5% 9.4% 10.0% 6.8% 7.2% 9.3% 7.2% 7.3% 3.6% 1.7% 1.0%
Bradley Brown 6.8% 5.8% 6.2% 6.4% 8.2% 8.4% 8.8% 7.8% 7.7% 9.5% 8.6% 7.5% 6.1% 2.2%
MaryClaire Kiernan 10.2% 10.0% 9.6% 9.2% 9.1% 7.8% 8.9% 8.5% 7.1% 6.4% 6.4% 4.7% 1.6% 0.5%
Matteo Alampi 2.7% 3.3% 2.4% 3.9% 2.8% 4.6% 4.3% 4.1% 6.1% 7.4% 9.9% 13.7% 16.2% 18.6%
Steven Pelissier 6.4% 5.2% 7.6% 4.9% 7.2% 7.8% 9.0% 9.2% 9.1% 9.5% 9.0% 8.3% 4.4% 2.4%
Dirk Johnson 9.1% 8.2% 8.1% 12.3% 9.4% 8.2% 8.4% 10.0% 7.9% 7.4% 4.7% 3.3% 2.4% 0.6%
Emily Petno 5.8% 5.6% 4.1% 7.8% 6.5% 8.3% 7.0% 9.3% 7.8% 9.7% 9.1% 8.5% 7.0% 3.5%
Ryan Gershuny 1.6% 1.9% 1.6% 2.1% 2.2% 2.6% 3.0% 3.5% 4.5% 6.0% 8.8% 15.4% 18.4% 28.4%
Jeffrey Adam 3.9% 3.7% 3.3% 4.2% 4.0% 4.2% 5.8% 6.0% 9.1% 7.5% 11.9% 13.4% 13.8% 9.2%
Matthew Miranda 1.2% 1.5% 2.1% 1.9% 2.4% 2.1% 2.4% 4.4% 5.9% 6.3% 6.4% 10.1% 21.8% 31.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.