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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.80+5.47vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.35+2.73vs Predicted
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3Boston University3.24+2.21vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.05+1.88vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.95+1.24vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60+1.37vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.91-0.99vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.61+2.10vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont2.55-1.55vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.97-3.90vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College2.45-3.25vs Predicted
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12University of New Hampshire1.24-0.87vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.90-4.71vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.15-3.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.47Bowdoin College2.800.1%1st Place
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4.73Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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5.21Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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5.88Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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6.24University of Rhode Island2.950.1%1st Place
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7.37U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.1%1st Place
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6.01Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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10.1Northeastern University1.610.0%1st Place
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7.45University of Vermont2.550.1%1st Place
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6.1Roger Williams University2.970.1%1st Place
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7.75Dartmouth College2.450.1%1st Place
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11.13University of New Hampshire1.240.0%1st Place
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9.29Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.900.0%1st Place
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11.27Salve Regina University1.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Lyons | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| Allyson Donahue | 15.0% | 14.5% | 12.4% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Ravi Parent | 12.7% | 12.6% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Casey Klingler | 9.2% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 7.3% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 1.0% |
| Bradley Brown | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 2.2% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 10.2% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Matteo Alampi | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 13.7% | 16.2% | 18.6% |
| Steven Pelissier | 6.4% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 4.4% | 2.4% |
| Dirk Johnson | 9.1% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 12.3% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Emily Petno | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 3.5% |
| Ryan Gershuny | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 15.4% | 18.4% | 28.4% |
| Jeffrey Adam | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 11.9% | 13.4% | 13.8% | 9.2% |
| Matthew Miranda | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 10.1% | 21.8% | 31.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.