Race 4C

hewitt

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Ravi Parent 12.8% 13.7% 11.3% 11.3% 8.9% 10.0% 8.1% 6.1% 5.4% 4.1% 3.9% 2.8% 1.0% 0.6%
MaryClaire Kiernan 10.4% 9.0% 9.0% 8.9% 8.8% 9.0% 9.3% 8.9% 8.5% 6.8% 5.6% 2.5% 2.3% 1.0%
Casey Klingler 10.8% 10.6% 10.6% 8.2% 9.0% 8.3% 9.8% 8.5% 8.5% 5.8% 5.1% 1.9% 2.2% 0.7%
Steven Pelissier 5.3% 7.0% 6.4% 7.6% 6.2% 8.3% 8.2% 8.4% 9.6% 7.6% 10.0% 7.8% 5.0% 2.6%
Matthew Lyons 7.1% 7.1% 7.4% 10.0% 9.6% 7.9% 7.6% 8.6% 8.9% 7.0% 7.6% 6.8% 3.1% 1.3%
Allyson Donahue 13.2% 12.9% 12.7% 10.8% 10.9% 8.8% 7.6% 7.1% 5.8% 4.6% 3.2% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
Emily Petno 6.4% 7.5% 6.2% 6.0% 7.5% 7.0% 7.9% 7.5% 9.6% 9.1% 7.9% 9.6% 5.3% 2.5%
Bradley Brown 7.2% 6.5% 8.1% 7.1% 7.3% 7.9% 7.9% 7.9% 8.0% 9.0% 8.8% 7.2% 4.6% 2.5%
Dirk Johnson 9.1% 8.2% 10.3% 8.2% 10.7% 10.3% 8.8% 8.2% 7.7% 6.6% 5.8% 3.6% 1.7% 0.8%
Matthew Coughlin 9.2% 8.2% 8.6% 10.5% 10.0% 8.0% 8.6% 8.5% 8.2% 7.7% 5.5% 4.0% 2.3% 0.7%
Jeffrey Adam 2.8% 3.7% 2.4% 3.9% 4.7% 5.6% 5.8% 7.1% 5.4% 9.0% 11.2% 14.4% 13.4% 10.6%
Matthew Miranda 1.2% 1.4% 2.3% 1.5% 1.3% 3.3% 2.8% 3.6% 3.9% 5.1% 8.4% 14.0% 18.9% 32.3%
Matteo Alampi 2.7% 2.9% 2.5% 3.5% 3.0% 3.0% 3.7% 4.8% 6.8% 10.4% 9.4% 13.5% 16.6% 17.2%
Ryan Gershuny 1.8% 1.3% 2.2% 2.5% 2.1% 2.6% 3.9% 4.8% 3.7% 7.2% 7.6% 10.1% 23.1% 27.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.