Race 5C

hewitt

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Matthew Coughlin 9.2% 9.7% 11.2% 8.1% 9.4% 8.8% 9.5% 7.8% 7.0% 7.1% 5.1% 4.0% 2.1% 1.0%
Ravi Parent 14.1% 11.2% 12.6% 9.9% 12.9% 9.0% 7.3% 7.6% 4.9% 5.3% 2.4% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2%
Allyson Donahue 14.6% 13.8% 11.4% 12.5% 9.1% 9.8% 7.7% 6.2% 6.0% 3.9% 3.2% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1%
MaryClaire Kiernan 7.6% 9.7% 8.9% 9.4% 7.7% 11.1% 8.3% 7.8% 7.3% 6.9% 7.4% 4.6% 2.4% 0.9%
Casey Klingler 8.0% 10.8% 9.1% 12.2% 9.1% 9.2% 8.5% 7.8% 7.1% 5.7% 6.4% 3.6% 1.6% 0.9%
Dirk Johnson 9.3% 8.5% 10.1% 10.0% 8.2% 8.8% 9.1% 8.2% 6.5% 8.5% 5.5% 4.5% 2.4% 0.4%
Matthew Lyons 9.6% 9.2% 8.1% 8.8% 8.2% 7.7% 8.9% 8.9% 8.4% 8.5% 5.6% 4.9% 2.9% 0.3%
Bradley Brown 7.2% 6.1% 8.6% 5.9% 8.2% 6.6% 7.9% 8.8% 9.5% 7.6% 8.5% 7.9% 5.1% 2.1%
Emily Petno 6.2% 4.9% 5.5% 5.4% 7.5% 7.0% 8.0% 8.8% 10.0% 9.6% 10.4% 8.8% 5.3% 2.6%
Matteo Alampi 2.6% 1.9% 2.6% 2.5% 2.0% 5.0% 5.0% 3.9% 7.0% 6.5% 11.6% 14.1% 17.5% 17.8%
Matthew Miranda 1.3% 2.1% 1.0% 1.8% 1.5% 2.5% 3.1% 3.8% 4.7% 5.5% 7.5% 10.5% 19.8% 34.9%
Steven Pelissier 5.5% 6.3% 5.7% 7.8% 8.6% 7.6% 8.4% 8.9% 8.6% 8.1% 8.5% 8.4% 4.8% 2.8%
Jeffrey Adam 3.6% 4.0% 3.3% 3.5% 4.9% 4.8% 5.2% 7.0% 6.7% 10.2% 10.8% 14.4% 13.1% 8.5%
Ryan Gershuny 1.2% 1.8% 1.9% 2.2% 2.7% 2.1% 3.1% 4.5% 6.3% 6.6% 7.1% 11.2% 21.8% 27.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.