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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.35+3.87vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.45+5.49vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont2.55+4.37vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.91+2.28vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.80+1.72vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.61+4.33vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.05-1.46vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60-0.86vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.97-2.87vs Predicted
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10Boston University3.24-4.70vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island2.95-4.83vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.90-3.60vs Predicted
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14University of New Hampshire1.24-2.95vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.15-3.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.87Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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7.49Dartmouth College2.450.1%1st Place
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7.37University of Vermont2.550.1%1st Place
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6.28Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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6.72Bowdoin College2.800.1%1st Place
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10.33Northeastern University1.610.0%1st Place
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5.54Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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7.14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.1%1st Place
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6.13Roger Williams University2.970.1%1st Place
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5.3Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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6.17University of Rhode Island2.950.1%1st Place
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9.4Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.900.0%1st Place
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11.05University of New Hampshire1.240.0%1st Place
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11.23Salve Regina University1.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allyson Donahue | 13.9% | 14.9% | 12.3% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Emily Petno | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 4.5% | 2.8% |
| Steven Pelissier | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 2.2% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 8.2% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Matthew Lyons | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 1.3% |
| Matteo Alampi | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 14.3% | 16.6% | 19.1% |
| Casey Klingler | 11.3% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Bradley Brown | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 2.6% |
| Dirk Johnson | 9.6% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Ravi Parent | 11.4% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 12.4% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.6% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 10.3% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 11.6% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 0.5% |
| Jeffrey Adam | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 13.0% | 12.4% | 10.5% |
| Ryan Gershuny | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 13.1% | 21.2% | 27.4% |
| Matthew Miranda | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 11.6% | 20.5% | 31.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.