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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.45+6.58vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.61+7.96vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.05+2.76vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.95+2.16vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60+1.32vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.35-1.97vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.90+1.09vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.91-2.76vs Predicted
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10University of New Hampshire1.24+1.17vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University1.15+0.44vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.97-5.86vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont2.55-5.52vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College2.80-7.46vs Predicted
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15Boston University3.24-9.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.58Dartmouth College2.450.1%1st Place
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9.96Northeastern University1.610.0%1st Place
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5.76Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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6.16University of Rhode Island2.950.1%1st Place
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7.32U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.1%1st Place
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5.03Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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9.09Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.900.0%1st Place
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6.24Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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11.17University of New Hampshire1.240.0%1st Place
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11.44Salve Regina University1.150.0%1st Place
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6.14Roger Williams University2.970.1%1st Place
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7.48University of Vermont2.550.1%1st Place
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6.54Bowdoin College2.800.1%1st Place
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5.09Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Petno | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 4.3% | 4.4% |
| Matteo Alampi | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 15.9% | 16.9% | 14.4% |
| Casey Klingler | 10.6% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 8.3% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Bradley Brown | 5.2% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 4.1% | 2.4% |
| Allyson Donahue | 13.4% | 12.1% | 12.9% | 12.4% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Jeffrey Adam | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 15.1% | 7.7% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 10.3% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Ryan Gershuny | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 9.4% | 12.0% | 21.0% | 29.5% |
| Matthew Miranda | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 18.3% | 35.2% |
| Dirk Johnson | 9.9% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| Steven Pelissier | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 2.1% |
| Matthew Lyons | 8.8% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 1.0% |
| Ravi Parent | 13.6% | 13.3% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.