← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Dartmouth College2.45+6.44vs Predicted
-
2Yale University3.05+3.56vs Predicted
-
4Northeastern University1.61+5.89vs Predicted
-
5Roger Williams University2.97+1.03vs Predicted
-
6Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.90+3.32vs Predicted
-
7University of Rhode Island2.95-0.86vs Predicted
-
8Bowdoin College2.80-1.71vs Predicted
-
9Tufts University2.91-2.85vs Predicted
-
10Boston University3.24-4.74vs Predicted
-
11University of Vermont2.55-3.56vs Predicted
-
12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60-4.83vs Predicted
-
13Salve Regina University1.15-1.89vs Predicted
-
14University of New Hampshire0.33-1.47vs Predicted
-
15Boston College3.35-10.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.44Dartmouth College2.450.1%1st Place
-
5.56Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
-
9.89Northeastern University1.610.0%1st Place
-
6.03Roger Williams University2.970.1%1st Place
-
9.32Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.900.0%1st Place
-
6.14University of Rhode Island2.950.1%1st Place
-
6.29Bowdoin College2.800.1%1st Place
-
6.15Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
-
5.26Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
-
7.44University of Vermont2.550.1%1st Place
-
7.17U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.1%1st Place
-
11.11Salve Regina University1.150.0%1st Place
-
12.53University of New Hampshire0.330.0%1st Place
-
4.69Boston College3.350.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Petno | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 2.0% |
| Casey Klingler | 11.2% | 12.1% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Matteo Alampi | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 11.2% | 16.9% | 20.2% | 8.6% |
| Dirk Johnson | 8.4% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 11.0% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Jeffrey Adam | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 12.6% | 13.0% | 14.2% | 7.2% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 9.3% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Matthew Lyons | 8.0% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 9.9% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 7.3% | 10.5% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Ravi Parent | 11.4% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 12.4% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Steven Pelissier | 6.3% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 0.9% |
| Bradley Brown | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 1.3% |
| Matthew Miranda | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 7.1% | 10.7% | 15.1% | 24.3% | 21.2% |
| Judas Taylor | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 9.7% | 15.9% | 57.2% |
| Allyson Donahue | 15.3% | 14.9% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.