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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.95+4.91vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.05+3.54vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.35+1.85vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.80+2.52vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.45+2.70vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont2.55+1.39vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60-0.15vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.90+1.15vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.61+1.07vs Predicted
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10Boston University3.24-4.79vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.97-4.96vs Predicted
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13Tufts University2.91-6.78vs Predicted
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14University of New Hampshire0.33-1.44vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.15-4.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.91University of Rhode Island2.950.1%1st Place
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5.54Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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4.85Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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6.52Bowdoin College2.800.1%1st Place
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7.7Dartmouth College2.450.0%1st Place
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7.39University of Vermont2.550.1%1st Place
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6.85U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.1%1st Place
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9.15Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.900.0%1st Place
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10.07Northeastern University1.610.0%1st Place
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5.21Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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6.04Roger Williams University2.970.1%1st Place
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6.22Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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12.56University of New Hampshire0.330.0%1st Place
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11.0Salve Regina University1.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Coughlin | 9.0% | 11.3% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Casey Klingler | 11.2% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Allyson Donahue | 13.4% | 14.8% | 12.6% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Matthew Lyons | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Emily Petno | 4.4% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 5.2% | 2.0% |
| Steven Pelissier | 7.1% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 4.7% | 1.3% |
| Bradley Brown | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 3.3% | 0.6% |
| Jeffrey Adam | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 13.0% | 13.0% | 15.1% | 6.1% |
| Matteo Alampi | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 13.0% | 17.0% | 18.5% | 10.3% |
| Ravi Parent | 11.2% | 11.7% | 12.9% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Dirk Johnson | 10.6% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 0.2% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 8.3% | 7.7% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Judas Taylor | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 7.2% | 15.6% | 59.0% |
| Matthew Miranda | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 13.7% | 27.1% | 18.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.