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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University3.04+10.22vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.58+6.94vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.49+6.34vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University4.51+1.10vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.89+2.34vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87+1.45vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.56+1.78vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.23+2.09vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College3.02+2.11vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.93+1.72vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University3.36-1.18vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College2.77+0.51vs Predicted
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13Tufts University3.56-4.30vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.65-1.69vs Predicted
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15Boston University3.63-6.61vs Predicted
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16College of Charleston3.95-8.77vs Predicted
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17Harvard University2.99-5.61vs Predicted
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18U. S. Naval Academy3.34-8.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.22Roger Williams University3.040.0%1st Place
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8.94Dartmouth College3.580.0%1st Place
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9.34Boston College3.490.1%1st Place
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5.1Georgetown University4.510.2%1st Place
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7.34Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
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7.45Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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8.78St. Mary's College of Maryland3.560.1%1st Place
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10.09Brown University3.230.0%1st Place
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11.11Connecticut College3.020.0%1st Place
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11.72University of Rhode Island2.930.0%1st Place
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9.82Salve Regina University3.360.1%1st Place
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12.51Eckerd College2.770.0%1st Place
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8.7Tufts University3.560.1%1st Place
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12.31Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.650.0%1st Place
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8.39Boston University3.630.1%1st Place
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7.23College of Charleston3.950.1%1st Place
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11.39Harvard University2.990.0%1st Place
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9.57U. S. Naval Academy3.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tucker Blagden | 3.5% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 9.5% | 10.9% |
| Edward Glackin | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.5% |
| Daniel Bloomstine | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 2.3% |
| Sydney Bolger | 15.4% | 15.2% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Cam Cullman | 8.3% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.8% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 8.6% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Frederick Whitman | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.5% |
| Tyler Rice | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% |
| Wells Bacon | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.0% |
| James Simmons | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 11.4% |
| Kyle Carney | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.5% |
| Jeff Hahl | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 10.4% | 12.3% | 17.1% |
| Nicolas Russo-Larsson | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 1.7% |
| Steven Drapcho | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 11.7% | 17.7% |
| Daniel Perkins | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.5% |
| Ben Spector | 7.7% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Colin Santangelo | 3.7% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 9.7% |
| Devin Laviano | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.