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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University0.70+1.09vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University0.47+0.54vs Predicted
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3Clemson University-0.11+0.36vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University-0.33-0.43vs Predicted
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5University of North Carolina-1.75+0.56vs Predicted
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6University of South Carolina-1.80-0.23vs Predicted
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7University of Tennessee-2.12-0.97vs Predicted
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8University of Tennessee-3.08-0.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.09Jacksonville University0.7040.2%1st Place
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2.54North Carolina State University0.4725.6%1st Place
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3.36Clemson University-0.1113.5%1st Place
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3.57Jacksonville University-0.3312.2%1st Place
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5.56University of North Carolina-1.753.5%1st Place
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5.77University of South Carolina-1.802.1%1st Place
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6.03University of Tennessee-2.121.8%1st Place
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7.08University of Tennessee-3.081.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fiona Froelich | 40.2% | 28.4% | 18.1% | 9.4% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Marc Hauenstein | 25.6% | 28.3% | 23.2% | 14.6% | 6.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Neil Bunce | 13.5% | 17.5% | 22.6% | 23.4% | 14.2% | 6.9% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Cheyenne Dooley | 12.2% | 15.3% | 19.4% | 24.2% | 17.0% | 8.9% | 2.8% | 0.2% |
| Runyon Tyler | 3.5% | 2.9% | 5.8% | 10.4% | 19.7% | 25.3% | 22.7% | 9.8% |
| Tyler Williams | 2.1% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 18.6% | 22.4% | 25.4% | 14.1% |
| Luke Ritchie | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 7.3% | 15.0% | 23.2% | 27.7% | 18.4% |
| Avery Roth | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 6.3% | 11.1% | 19.1% | 57.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.