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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.35+3.80vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.91+3.94vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.80+3.46vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont2.55+3.28vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.97+1.12vs Predicted
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6Boston University3.24-0.75vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.05-1.53vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60-0.97vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.45-1.36vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.95-3.90vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University1.15+0.26vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire0.33-0.32vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.61-4.07vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.90-5.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.8Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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5.94Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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6.46Bowdoin College2.800.1%1st Place
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7.28University of Vermont2.550.1%1st Place
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6.12Roger Williams University2.970.1%1st Place
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5.25Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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5.47Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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7.03U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.1%1st Place
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7.64Dartmouth College2.450.1%1st Place
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6.1University of Rhode Island2.950.1%1st Place
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11.26Salve Regina University1.150.0%1st Place
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12.68University of New Hampshire0.330.0%1st Place
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9.93Northeastern University1.610.0%1st Place
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9.05Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.900.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allyson Donahue | 14.4% | 15.5% | 10.8% | 12.4% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 10.1% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Matthew Lyons | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Steven Pelissier | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 7.7% | 4.1% | 1.3% |
| Dirk Johnson | 8.2% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Ravi Parent | 11.8% | 12.5% | 11.7% | 9.3% | 12.0% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Casey Klingler | 11.6% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Brown | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 4.0% | 1.5% |
| Emily Petno | 6.4% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 4.4% | 1.5% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Matthew Miranda | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 12.6% | 28.8% | 22.5% |
| Judas Taylor | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 19.6% | 57.2% |
| Matteo Alampi | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 17.0% | 17.8% | 10.1% |
| Jeffrey Adam | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 14.2% | 15.4% | 12.6% | 4.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.