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📊 Prediction Accuracy
14.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.45+6.46vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.97+3.72vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.95+3.05vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60+3.10vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.35-0.05vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University1.15+5.25vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.61+2.75vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.90+1.14vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.80-2.42vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.91-3.79vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont2.55-3.62vs Predicted
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12Boston University3.24-6.80vs Predicted
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13Yale University3.05-7.37vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire0.33-2.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.46Dartmouth College2.450.1%1st Place
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5.72Roger Williams University2.970.1%1st Place
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6.05University of Rhode Island2.950.1%1st Place
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7.1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.1%1st Place
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4.95Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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11.25Salve Regina University1.150.0%1st Place
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9.75Northeastern University1.610.0%1st Place
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9.14Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.900.0%1st Place
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6.58Bowdoin College2.800.1%1st Place
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6.21Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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7.38University of Vermont2.550.1%1st Place
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5.2Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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5.63Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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12.58University of New Hampshire0.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Petno | 6.2% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 2.0% |
| Dirk Johnson | 11.2% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 9.3% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Bradley Brown | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 9.6% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 0.7% |
| Allyson Donahue | 11.9% | 14.2% | 13.8% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Miranda | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 9.5% | 14.4% | 26.5% | 23.2% |
| Matteo Alampi | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 17.2% | 17.9% | 8.5% |
| Jeffrey Adam | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 11.1% | 15.1% | 14.1% | 6.5% |
| Matthew Lyons | 8.4% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 8.6% | 7.0% | 11.4% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Steven Pelissier | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 1.1% |
| Ravi Parent | 12.2% | 12.2% | 12.1% | 11.4% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Casey Klingler | 12.0% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Judas Taylor | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 5.3% | 8.5% | 17.7% | 55.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.