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📊 Prediction Accuracy
7.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60+5.99vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.35+2.69vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.95+3.02vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.97+2.03vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.45+2.67vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont2.55+1.36vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University1.15+3.89vs Predicted
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8Boston University3.24-2.82vs Predicted
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9University of New Hampshire0.33+3.64vs Predicted
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10Yale University3.05-4.21vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.91-4.80vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.80-5.49vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.61-3.08vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.90-4.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.99U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.1%1st Place
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4.69Boston College3.350.2%1st Place
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6.02University of Rhode Island2.950.1%1st Place
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6.03Roger Williams University2.970.1%1st Place
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7.67Dartmouth College2.450.0%1st Place
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7.36University of Vermont2.550.1%1st Place
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10.89Salve Regina University1.150.0%1st Place
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5.18Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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12.64University of New Hampshire0.330.0%1st Place
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5.79Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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6.2Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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6.51Bowdoin College2.800.1%1st Place
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9.92Northeastern University1.610.0%1st Place
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9.1Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.900.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley Brown | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 1.4% |
| Allyson Donahue | 15.7% | 13.1% | 14.2% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 10.1% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Dirk Johnson | 9.0% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Emily Petno | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 5.6% | 1.6% |
| Steven Pelissier | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 3.0% | 1.6% |
| Matthew Miranda | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 27.2% | 20.2% |
| Ravi Parent | 12.5% | 14.3% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Judas Taylor | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 17.6% | 58.8% |
| Casey Klingler | 9.8% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 9.2% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Matthew Lyons | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| Matteo Alampi | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 17.7% | 18.0% | 9.7% |
| Jeffrey Adam | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 16.1% | 13.0% | 5.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.