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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.35+3.77vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.61+7.85vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.97+2.95vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.91+2.19vs Predicted
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6Boston University3.24-0.75vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.95-0.87vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.80-1.79vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.05-3.33vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont2.55-2.69vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College2.45-3.35vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60-4.83vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire0.33-0.33vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.90-4.86vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.15-3.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.77Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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9.85Northeastern University1.610.0%1st Place
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5.95Roger Williams University2.970.1%1st Place
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6.19Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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5.25Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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6.13University of Rhode Island2.950.1%1st Place
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6.21Bowdoin College2.800.1%1st Place
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5.67Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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7.31University of Vermont2.550.1%1st Place
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7.65Dartmouth College2.450.1%1st Place
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7.17U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.1%1st Place
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12.67University of New Hampshire0.330.0%1st Place
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9.14Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.900.0%1st Place
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11.05Salve Regina University1.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allyson Donahue | 14.9% | 14.1% | 13.1% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Matteo Alampi | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 11.1% | 17.1% | 17.6% | 10.0% |
| Dirk Johnson | 10.3% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 7.5% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Ravi Parent | 11.3% | 11.4% | 12.6% | 12.1% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 9.5% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Matthew Lyons | 9.2% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Casey Klingler | 11.2% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Steven Pelissier | 6.7% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 0.7% |
| Emily Petno | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 4.8% | 2.1% |
| Bradley Brown | 6.7% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 0.7% |
| Judas Taylor | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 15.9% | 59.8% |
| Jeffrey Adam | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 12.6% | 14.4% | 11.5% | 6.9% |
| Matthew Miranda | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 13.0% | 31.3% | 18.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.