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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.45+6.43vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont2.55+5.03vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.97+2.96vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.95+2.08vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.24+0.26vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.61+4.10vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60-0.18vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.05-2.27vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University1.15+2.12vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.90-0.66vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.80-4.41vs Predicted
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12Boston College3.35-7.09vs Predicted
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13Tufts University2.91-6.94vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire0.33-2.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.43Dartmouth College2.450.1%1st Place
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7.03University of Vermont2.550.1%1st Place
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5.96Roger Williams University2.970.1%1st Place
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6.08University of Rhode Island2.950.1%1st Place
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5.26Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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10.1Northeastern University1.610.0%1st Place
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6.82U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.1%1st Place
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5.73Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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11.12Salve Regina University1.150.0%1st Place
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9.34Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.900.0%1st Place
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6.59Bowdoin College2.800.1%1st Place
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4.91Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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6.06Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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12.57University of New Hampshire0.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Petno | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 1.7% |
| Steven Pelissier | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 1.2% |
| Dirk Johnson | 10.3% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 7.9% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Ravi Parent | 11.4% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 12.7% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Matteo Alampi | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 12.1% | 16.8% | 17.6% | 12.1% |
| Bradley Brown | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 5.9% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| Casey Klingler | 11.5% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Matthew Miranda | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 9.3% | 15.1% | 27.9% | 20.8% |
| Jeffrey Adam | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 13.2% | 15.0% | 14.2% | 5.7% |
| Matthew Lyons | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 0.5% |
| Allyson Donahue | 13.2% | 13.4% | 12.8% | 11.9% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 10.4% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Judas Taylor | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 8.2% | 17.4% | 55.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.