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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60+5.98vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.80+4.25vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.61+6.89vs Predicted
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4Boston University3.24+1.22vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.95+1.16vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.05-0.21vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.97-1.26vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.35-3.12vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.45-1.36vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.91-4.72vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.90-2.72vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University1.15-1.89vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont2.55-6.81vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire0.33-2.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.98U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.1%1st Place
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6.25Bowdoin College2.800.1%1st Place
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9.89Northeastern University1.610.0%1st Place
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5.22Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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6.16University of Rhode Island2.950.1%1st Place
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5.79Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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5.74Roger Williams University2.970.1%1st Place
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4.88Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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7.64Dartmouth College2.450.1%1st Place
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6.28Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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9.28Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.900.0%1st Place
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11.11Salve Regina University1.150.0%1st Place
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7.19University of Vermont2.550.1%1st Place
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12.58University of New Hampshire0.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley Brown | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 11.0% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 1.7% |
| Matthew Lyons | 9.6% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 0.3% |
| Matteo Alampi | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 11.9% | 16.6% | 19.2% | 10.1% |
| Ravi Parent | 11.4% | 12.7% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 8.2% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Casey Klingler | 10.2% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Dirk Johnson | 10.8% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Allyson Donahue | 14.5% | 14.1% | 12.4% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Emily Petno | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 5.3% | 2.0% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 8.3% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Jeffrey Adam | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 10.0% | 13.5% | 15.3% | 11.9% | 7.3% |
| Matthew Miranda | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 9.6% | 16.2% | 25.6% | 20.5% |
| Steven Pelissier | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 1.1% |
| Judas Taylor | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 19.4% | 55.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.