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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.02+5.32vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.39+3.19vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.49+2.03vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.43+4.47vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.79+2.08vs Predicted
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6Fordham University3.52-0.97vs Predicted
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8Yale University2.45+0.37vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania3.16-3.07vs Predicted
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10Washington College2.01-0.08vs Predicted
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11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82-4.00vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont2.90-5.03vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College2.14-3.69vs Predicted
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14Columbia University1.65-3.02vs Predicted
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15Sacred Heart University0.12-0.25vs Predicted
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16Williams College0.59-2.34vs Predicted
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17Fairfield University0.66-3.37vs Predicted
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18SUNY Stony Brook-0.23-2.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.32U. S. Naval Academy3.020.1%1st Place
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5.19Dartmouth College3.390.1%1st Place
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5.03St. Mary's College of Maryland3.490.1%1st Place
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8.47Cornell University2.430.1%1st Place
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7.08George Washington University2.790.1%1st Place
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5.03Fordham University3.520.1%1st Place
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8.37Yale University2.450.0%1st Place
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5.93University of Pennsylvania3.160.1%1st Place
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9.92Washington College2.010.0%1st Place
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7.0U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.1%1st Place
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6.97University of Vermont2.900.1%1st Place
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9.31SUNY Maritime College2.140.0%1st Place
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10.98Columbia University1.650.0%1st Place
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14.75Sacred Heart University0.120.0%1st Place
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13.66Williams College0.590.0%1st Place
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13.63Fairfield University0.660.0%1st Place
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15.37SUNY Stony Brook-0.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Addison Hackstaff | 9.2% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hunter Johnstone | 12.1% | 12.2% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Markus Edegran | 13.6% | 12.9% | 12.0% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Balk | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Daniel DelBello | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Will Holz | 13.6% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 13.0% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eric Anderson | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Jack Swikart | 10.7% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew McDermaid | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 7.1% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Max Neubelt | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| William Crary | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Peter Maes | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Adam DeVita | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 11.9% | 14.7% | 13.8% | 9.9% | 5.6% | 1.3% |
| Brian Reilly | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 15.3% | 26.7% | 28.8% |
| Brent Bomkamp | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 8.4% | 13.9% | 21.3% | 20.6% | 13.1% |
| Mateus Guimaraes | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 15.8% | 21.3% | 17.8% | 12.3% |
| Andrew Lithen | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 12.0% | 23.5% | 43.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.