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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.02+5.32vs Predicted
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3Fordham University3.52+1.83vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.49+0.97vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.45+3.38vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College2.14+3.23vs Predicted
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7George Washington University2.79+0.34vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont2.90-1.14vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania3.16-3.13vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82-2.73vs Predicted
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11Cornell University2.43-2.73vs Predicted
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12Columbia University1.65-1.03vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College3.39-7.70vs Predicted
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14Washington College2.01-4.06vs Predicted
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15Williams College0.59-1.19vs Predicted
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16Sacred Heart University0.12-1.36vs Predicted
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17Fairfield University0.66-3.38vs Predicted
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18SUNY Stony Brook-0.23-2.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.32U. S. Naval Academy3.020.1%1st Place
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4.83Fordham University3.520.1%1st Place
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4.97St. Mary's College of Maryland3.490.1%1st Place
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8.38Yale University2.450.1%1st Place
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9.23SUNY Maritime College2.140.0%1st Place
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7.34George Washington University2.790.1%1st Place
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6.86University of Vermont2.900.1%1st Place
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5.87University of Pennsylvania3.160.1%1st Place
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7.27U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.1%1st Place
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8.27Cornell University2.430.0%1st Place
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10.97Columbia University1.650.0%1st Place
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5.3Dartmouth College3.390.1%1st Place
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9.94Washington College2.010.0%1st Place
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13.81Williams College0.590.0%1st Place
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14.64Sacred Heart University0.120.0%1st Place
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13.62Fairfield University0.660.0%1st Place
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15.36SUNY Stony Brook-0.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Addison Hackstaff | 9.6% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Will Holz | 14.0% | 13.8% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Markus Edegran | 14.3% | 12.4% | 12.0% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eric Anderson | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Peter Maes | 2.8% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Daniel DelBello | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| William Crary | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jack Swikart | 10.9% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Neubelt | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Balk | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Adam DeVita | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 13.6% | 14.9% | 11.5% | 4.3% | 1.6% |
| Hunter Johnstone | 12.6% | 12.6% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew McDermaid | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 5.8% | 1.8% | 1.1% |
| Brent Bomkamp | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 13.5% | 21.0% | 22.2% | 13.5% |
| Brian Reilly | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 9.4% | 15.2% | 26.9% | 27.8% |
| Mateus Guimaraes | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 9.8% | 16.4% | 20.3% | 18.4% | 11.9% |
| Andrew Lithen | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 7.5% | 13.1% | 22.3% | 43.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.