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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University3.52+3.71vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy3.02+4.30vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania3.16+2.91vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.49+1.04vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82+1.83vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College2.14+3.31vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.39-1.82vs Predicted
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9George Washington University2.79-2.04vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont2.90-3.13vs Predicted
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11Yale University2.45-2.92vs Predicted
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12Williams College0.59+1.18vs Predicted
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13Columbia University1.65-2.42vs Predicted
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14Washington College2.01-4.32vs Predicted
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15Cornell University2.43-6.66vs Predicted
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16Sacred Heart University-0.43-1.15vs Predicted
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17SUNY Stony Brook-0.23-2.36vs Predicted
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18Fairfield University-1.96-1.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.71Fordham University3.520.2%1st Place
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6.3U. S. Naval Academy3.020.1%1st Place
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5.91University of Pennsylvania3.160.1%1st Place
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5.04St. Mary's College of Maryland3.490.1%1st Place
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6.83U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.1%1st Place
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9.31SUNY Maritime College2.140.0%1st Place
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5.18Dartmouth College3.390.1%1st Place
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6.96George Washington University2.790.1%1st Place
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6.87University of Vermont2.900.1%1st Place
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8.08Yale University2.450.0%1st Place
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13.18Williams College0.590.0%1st Place
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10.58Columbia University1.650.0%1st Place
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9.68Washington College2.010.0%1st Place
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8.34Cornell University2.430.0%1st Place
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14.85Sacred Heart University-0.430.0%1st Place
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14.64SUNY Stony Brook-0.230.0%1st Place
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16.53Fairfield University-1.960.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Holz | 15.7% | 13.2% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Addison Hackstaff | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Swikart | 9.4% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Markus Edegran | 14.1% | 12.3% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Neubelt | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Maes | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 12.6% | 13.3% | 7.1% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Hunter Johnstone | 11.2% | 13.0% | 11.9% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel DelBello | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Crary | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eric Anderson | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Brent Bomkamp | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 12.1% | 24.6% | 23.9% | 13.6% | 2.5% |
| Adam DeVita | 2.6% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 17.8% | 14.9% | 6.9% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Matthew McDermaid | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 12.3% | 13.9% | 9.5% | 4.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Balk | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 12.1% | 8.8% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| David Tampellini | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 12.6% | 23.7% | 38.1% | 12.6% |
| Andrew Lithen | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 13.9% | 30.8% | 30.5% | 9.7% |
| John Hurley | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 5.3% | 14.8% | 75.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.