← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Cornell University2.43+7.05vs Predicted
-
2Dartmouth College3.39+3.11vs Predicted
-
3University of Pennsylvania3.16+2.92vs Predicted
-
4Fordham University3.52+0.90vs Predicted
-
6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.49-1.19vs Predicted
-
7George Washington University2.79+0.25vs Predicted
-
8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82-1.03vs Predicted
-
9SUNY Maritime College2.14-0.05vs Predicted
-
10U. S. Naval Academy3.02-3.54vs Predicted
-
11Yale University2.45-2.89vs Predicted
-
12University of Vermont2.90-5.14vs Predicted
-
13Williams College0.59+0.21vs Predicted
-
14Columbia University1.65-3.29vs Predicted
-
15Washington College2.01-5.32vs Predicted
-
16SUNY Stony Brook-0.23-1.47vs Predicted
-
17Sacred Heart University-0.43-2.05vs Predicted
-
18Fairfield University-1.96-1.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.05Cornell University2.430.1%1st Place
-
5.11Dartmouth College3.390.1%1st Place
-
5.92University of Pennsylvania3.160.1%1st Place
-
4.9Fordham University3.520.1%1st Place
-
4.81St. Mary's College of Maryland3.490.1%1st Place
-
7.25George Washington University2.790.1%1st Place
-
6.97U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.1%1st Place
-
8.95SUNY Maritime College2.140.0%1st Place
-
6.46U. S. Naval Academy3.020.1%1st Place
-
8.11Yale University2.450.0%1st Place
-
6.86University of Vermont2.900.1%1st Place
-
13.21Williams College0.590.0%1st Place
-
10.71Columbia University1.650.0%1st Place
-
9.68Washington College2.010.0%1st Place
-
14.53SUNY Stony Brook-0.230.0%1st Place
-
14.95Sacred Heart University-0.430.0%1st Place
-
16.53Fairfield University-1.960.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Balk | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hunter Johnstone | 12.3% | 13.5% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Swikart | 9.0% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Will Holz | 15.0% | 13.1% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Markus Edegran | 14.9% | 14.3% | 13.8% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel DelBello | 7.2% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Neubelt | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Maes | 4.8% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 7.2% | 3.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Addison Hackstaff | 7.4% | 7.3% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eric Anderson | 4.2% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| William Crary | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brent Bomkamp | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 9.8% | 24.8% | 25.5% | 13.2% | 2.1% |
| Adam DeVita | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 13.3% | 18.5% | 14.0% | 6.3% | 2.3% | 0.1% |
| Matthew McDermaid | 1.9% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 10.4% | 13.4% | 15.3% | 10.6% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Lithen | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 6.1% | 12.8% | 27.9% | 32.5% | 9.1% |
| David Tampellini | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 4.3% | 11.8% | 26.5% | 36.7% | 13.1% |
| John Hurley | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 14.4% | 75.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.