← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Jacksonville University0.70+1.28vs Predicted
-
2North Carolina State University0.47+0.88vs Predicted
-
3Clemson University-0.11+0.68vs Predicted
-
4University of North Carolina-0.24-0.34vs Predicted
-
5Jacksonville University-0.33-1.05vs Predicted
-
6University of South Carolina-1.80+0.06vs Predicted
-
7University of Tennessee-2.12-0.76vs Predicted
-
8University of Tennessee-3.08-0.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.28Jacksonville University0.7035.7%1st Place
-
2.88North Carolina State University0.4722.9%1st Place
-
3.68Clemson University-0.1112.9%1st Place
-
3.66University of North Carolina-0.2413.0%1st Place
-
3.95Jacksonville University-0.3310.0%1st Place
-
6.06University of South Carolina-1.802.5%1st Place
-
6.24University of Tennessee-2.122.0%1st Place
-
7.24University of Tennessee-3.080.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fiona Froelich | 35.7% | 26.6% | 20.0% | 11.0% | 4.9% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Marc Hauenstein | 22.9% | 22.6% | 22.1% | 14.8% | 12.2% | 4.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Neil Bunce | 12.9% | 15.3% | 17.4% | 19.6% | 20.2% | 10.2% | 3.9% | 0.5% |
| Francis "Mac" Humphrey | 13.0% | 15.8% | 16.8% | 20.5% | 18.9% | 10.8% | 3.9% | 0.4% |
| Cheyenne Dooley | 10.0% | 12.2% | 15.6% | 21.9% | 21.9% | 13.3% | 4.5% | 0.7% |
| Tyler Williams | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 10.0% | 28.3% | 32.5% | 14.9% |
| Luke Ritchie | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 8.3% | 22.2% | 35.8% | 20.0% |
| Avery Roth | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 9.0% | 18.6% | 63.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.