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📊 Prediction Accuracy
5.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.93+10.62vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University4.51+3.19vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.49+6.37vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.65+8.44vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.56+3.77vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.58+2.77vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.89+0.36vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University3.04+2.92vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College3.02+2.12vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87-2.28vs Predicted
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11Boston University3.63-2.40vs Predicted
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12Tufts University3.56-2.80vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University3.36-3.51vs Predicted
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14College of Charleston3.95-7.03vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College2.77-2.88vs Predicted
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16Brown University3.23-5.70vs Predicted
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17U. S. Naval Academy3.34-7.03vs Predicted
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18Harvard University2.99-6.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.62University of Rhode Island2.930.0%1st Place
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5.19Georgetown University4.510.1%1st Place
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9.37Boston College3.490.0%1st Place
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12.44Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.650.0%1st Place
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8.77St. Mary's College of Maryland3.560.1%1st Place
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8.77Dartmouth College3.580.1%1st Place
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7.36Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
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10.92Roger Williams University3.040.0%1st Place
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11.12Connecticut College3.020.0%1st Place
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7.72Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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8.6Boston University3.630.1%1st Place
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9.2Tufts University3.560.1%1st Place
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9.49Salve Regina University3.360.1%1st Place
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6.97College of Charleston3.950.1%1st Place
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12.12Eckerd College2.770.0%1st Place
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10.3Brown University3.230.0%1st Place
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9.97U. S. Naval Academy3.340.1%1st Place
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11.06Harvard University2.990.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Simmons | 3.6% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 10.9% | 12.3% |
| Sydney Bolger | 12.4% | 14.6% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Daniel Bloomstine | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 2.8% | 2.9% |
| Steven Drapcho | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 11.4% | 19.3% |
| Frederick Whitman | 5.5% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 2.6% |
| Edward Glackin | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 1.6% |
| Cam Cullman | 7.9% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.8% |
| Tucker Blagden | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.9% |
| Wells Bacon | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 6.9% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Daniel Perkins | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.3% |
| Nicolas Russo-Larsson | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.9% |
| Kyle Carney | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% |
| Ben Spector | 9.0% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Jeff Hahl | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 15.0% |
| Tyler Rice | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 5.7% |
| Devin Laviano | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.2% |
| Colin Santangelo | 4.0% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.