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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.87+5.12vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39+2.67vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy3.63+1.02vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39+3.33vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College1.23+5.71vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.69-2.22vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.67-0.46vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania2.87-2.11vs Predicted
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9Cornell University1.74+0.37vs Predicted
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10Washington College1.63-0.14vs Predicted
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11Fordham University1.87-1.88vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont1.72-2.31vs Predicted
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13George Washington University2.28-5.40vs Predicted
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14Columbia University0.11-0.54vs Predicted
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15Sacred Heart University-0.86+0.35vs Predicted
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16SUNY Stony Brook0.03-2.14vs Predicted
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17Fairfield University-1.36-0.93vs Predicted
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18Williams College-3.06-0.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.12Dartmouth College2.870.1%1st Place
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4.67U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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4.02U. S. Naval Academy3.630.2%1st Place
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7.33Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.1%1st Place
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10.71SUNY Maritime College1.230.0%1st Place
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3.78St. Mary's College of Maryland3.690.2%1st Place
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6.54Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
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5.89University of Pennsylvania2.870.1%1st Place
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9.37Cornell University1.740.0%1st Place
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9.86Washington College1.630.0%1st Place
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9.12Fordham University1.870.0%1st Place
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9.69University of Vermont1.720.0%1st Place
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7.6George Washington University2.280.1%1st Place
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13.46Columbia University0.110.0%1st Place
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15.35Sacred Heart University-0.860.0%1st Place
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13.86SUNY Stony Brook0.030.0%1st Place
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16.07Fairfield University-1.360.0%1st Place
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17.55Williams College-3.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathaniel Johansson | 9.4% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Lomax | 11.3% | 14.7% | 11.1% | 14.7% | 13.5% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gary Prieto | 16.6% | 16.3% | 17.3% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Swikart | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Keegan | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 16.4% | 13.3% | 8.0% | 3.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Adam | 19.7% | 18.9% | 15.9% | 11.7% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Drew Gallagher | 9.0% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colin Keil | 3.4% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 13.5% | 11.6% | 7.3% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Smith | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 10.2% | 12.3% | 12.3% | 11.3% | 9.1% | 5.4% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anders Ekholm | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 12.7% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Mike Kanare | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 12.5% | 12.0% | 9.2% | 4.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Colin Kennedy | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Siegal | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 17.1% | 24.0% | 16.6% | 6.6% | 0.7% |
| Colby Jennings | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 8.1% | 15.3% | 30.4% | 28.9% | 4.8% |
| Brendan Brown-McCue | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 9.2% | 16.4% | 23.1% | 20.8% | 9.2% | 1.0% |
| Kelsey Laforest | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 5.4% | 9.1% | 20.9% | 44.9% | 12.4% |
| Maeve Serino | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 9.4% | 81.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.