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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.63+3.09vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39+2.68vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.69+0.82vs Predicted
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4Fordham University1.87+4.97vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39+2.32vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.67+0.58vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania2.87-1.04vs Predicted
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8Columbia University0.11+5.53vs Predicted
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9George Washington University2.28-1.29vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College2.87-3.88vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College1.23-0.05vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont1.72-2.25vs Predicted
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13Cornell University1.74-3.72vs Predicted
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14Washington College1.63-4.50vs Predicted
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15SUNY Stony Brook0.03-1.23vs Predicted
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16Sacred Heart University-0.86-0.66vs Predicted
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17Fairfield University-1.36-0.92vs Predicted
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18Williams College-3.06-0.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.09U. S. Naval Academy3.630.2%1st Place
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4.68U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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3.82St. Mary's College of Maryland3.690.2%1st Place
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8.97Fordham University1.870.0%1st Place
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7.32Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.1%1st Place
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6.58Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
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5.96University of Pennsylvania2.870.1%1st Place
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13.53Columbia University0.110.0%1st Place
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7.71George Washington University2.280.0%1st Place
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6.12Dartmouth College2.870.1%1st Place
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10.95SUNY Maritime College1.230.0%1st Place
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9.75University of Vermont1.720.0%1st Place
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9.28Cornell University1.740.0%1st Place
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9.5Washington College1.630.0%1st Place
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13.77SUNY Stony Brook0.030.0%1st Place
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15.34Sacred Heart University-0.860.0%1st Place
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16.08Fairfield University-1.360.0%1st Place
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17.56Williams College-3.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gary Prieto | 17.1% | 17.9% | 15.0% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Lomax | 12.8% | 13.3% | 13.9% | 13.7% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Adam | 17.9% | 18.3% | 17.0% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anders Ekholm | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 11.9% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Swikart | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 7.1% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Drew Gallagher | 9.4% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Siegal | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 16.5% | 23.5% | 19.4% | 7.0% | 0.7% |
| Colin Kennedy | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Johansson | 10.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Keegan | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 11.9% | 16.6% | 14.6% | 7.7% | 3.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Mike Kanare | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 12.6% | 12.3% | 10.5% | 3.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Colin Keil | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Smith | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 11.7% | 13.1% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Brown-McCue | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 9.6% | 17.6% | 23.2% | 19.8% | 7.8% | 0.7% |
| Colby Jennings | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 8.1% | 16.5% | 29.3% | 27.9% | 6.0% |
| Kelsey Laforest | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 9.5% | 20.7% | 45.5% | 12.1% |
| Maeve Serino | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 11.1% | 80.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.