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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.87+5.15vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.69+1.89vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.67+3.68vs Predicted
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4Fordham University1.87+4.84vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.28+2.67vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy3.63-2.09vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39+0.41vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39-3.55vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College1.23+1.83vs Predicted
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10Cornell University1.74-0.44vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont1.72-1.50vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College2.87-5.82vs Predicted
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13Columbia University0.11+0.54vs Predicted
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14Sacred Heart University-0.86+1.28vs Predicted
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15Washington College1.63-5.34vs Predicted
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16SUNY Stony Brook0.03-2.18vs Predicted
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17Fairfield University-1.36-0.92vs Predicted
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18Williams College-3.06-0.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.15University of Pennsylvania2.870.1%1st Place
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3.89St. Mary's College of Maryland3.690.2%1st Place
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6.68Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
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8.84Fordham University1.870.0%1st Place
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7.67George Washington University2.280.1%1st Place
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3.91U. S. Naval Academy3.630.2%1st Place
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7.41Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.1%1st Place
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4.45U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.2%1st Place
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10.83SUNY Maritime College1.230.0%1st Place
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9.56Cornell University1.740.0%1st Place
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9.5University of Vermont1.720.0%1st Place
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6.18Dartmouth College2.870.1%1st Place
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13.54Columbia University0.110.0%1st Place
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15.28Sacred Heart University-0.860.0%1st Place
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9.66Washington College1.630.0%1st Place
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13.82SUNY Stony Brook0.030.0%1st Place
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16.08Fairfield University-1.360.0%1st Place
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17.56Williams College-3.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drew Gallagher | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Adam | 17.0% | 16.9% | 16.2% | 14.1% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anders Ekholm | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Colin Kennedy | 5.0% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gary Prieto | 17.8% | 19.0% | 14.7% | 12.5% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Swikart | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Charles Lomax | 16.2% | 15.8% | 13.1% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Keegan | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 10.0% | 12.7% | 13.8% | 14.1% | 9.1% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Colin Keil | 3.1% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 12.7% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mike Kanare | 3.4% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 13.6% | 7.1% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Johansson | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 11.0% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Siegal | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 9.8% | 15.2% | 24.5% | 19.5% | 6.1% | 1.1% |
| Colby Jennings | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 9.8% | 13.9% | 30.9% | 26.4% | 5.7% |
| Alexander Smith | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Brown-McCue | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 9.7% | 16.7% | 25.4% | 18.6% | 9.0% | 0.8% |
| Kelsey Laforest | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 5.4% | 9.3% | 18.7% | 47.8% | 11.5% |
| Maeve Serino | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.9% | 5.0% | 9.7% | 80.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.