Race 1A

maisa-women-fall-dinghy

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

61.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Catherine Shanahan 11.0% 11.0% 11.4% 10.8% 10.6% 12.4% 10.4% 8.4% 6.6% 4.4% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
Andrea Luna 9.7% 11.1% 10.8% 10.7% 12.7% 10.6% 9.4% 9.9% 7.3% 4.6% 2.0% 0.9% 0.3%
Adelaide Ferguson 5.2% 7.5% 9.1% 10.3% 9.2% 10.9% 9.8% 10.0% 12.1% 7.9% 5.5% 2.0% 0.5%
Mary Hall 22.3% 19.8% 13.9% 15.8% 9.1% 8.3% 5.5% 3.0% 1.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Liana Folger 7.6% 7.7% 8.1% 7.9% 9.2% 8.3% 10.2% 11.3% 9.2% 10.7% 6.8% 2.5% 0.5%
Nancy Hagood 13.7% 16.6% 14.1% 10.7% 12.5% 9.0% 7.2% 7.8% 4.7% 2.4% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Hannah McNomee 10.1% 7.9% 8.6% 8.8% 8.4% 10.6% 11.2% 8.8% 12.1% 6.6% 4.7% 1.8% 0.4%
Eleanor Conroy 3.7% 3.8% 4.2% 3.7% 4.9% 5.8% 9.1% 9.2% 11.1% 14.0% 15.9% 11.4% 3.2%
Linor Berezin 1.2% 1.6% 2.0% 2.1% 2.7% 2.5% 3.5% 4.2% 4.9% 9.6% 15.2% 28.3% 22.2%
Jennifer Borshoff 10.6% 8.0% 11.0% 11.2% 11.5% 9.3% 10.1% 9.7% 7.2% 5.9% 3.3% 1.8% 0.4%
Mary Margaret Meehan 1.9% 1.7% 2.6% 2.7% 3.8% 4.5% 6.4% 7.4% 8.7% 13.8% 19.2% 16.1% 11.2%
Amanda Attardi 2.5% 2.6% 3.7% 4.5% 4.2% 6.1% 6.2% 8.4% 11.4% 15.0% 14.7% 15.2% 5.5%
Casey Firth 0.5% 0.7% 0.5% 0.8% 1.2% 1.7% 1.0% 1.9% 3.3% 4.6% 9.0% 19.1% 55.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.