Race 3A

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Nancy Hagood 14.2% 14.0% 13.4% 12.0% 11.8% 11.4% 8.2% 6.3% 4.7% 2.6% 1.2% 0.1% 0.1%
Andrea Luna 9.8% 10.6% 11.3% 11.9% 12.2% 10.1% 8.5% 10.3% 7.6% 4.5% 2.1% 0.8% 0.3%
Catherine Shanahan 9.6% 12.2% 13.5% 11.2% 10.3% 10.5% 10.6% 8.4% 6.8% 3.7% 2.4% 0.6% 0.2%
Mary Hall 23.0% 18.6% 16.8% 12.1% 11.6% 7.4% 5.8% 2.5% 1.6% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Jennifer Borshoff 10.7% 8.8% 11.5% 9.9% 9.9% 10.7% 11.7% 8.9% 7.6% 6.3% 3.1% 0.8% 0.1%
Eleanor Conroy 3.4% 3.7% 3.5% 5.9% 4.8% 6.4% 7.9% 9.2% 11.8% 14.8% 14.7% 10.2% 3.7%
Adelaide Ferguson 9.1% 9.0% 6.6% 9.1% 8.7% 10.5% 10.6% 9.3% 10.7% 9.2% 4.6% 2.3% 0.3%
Maria Sinagra 6.8% 7.3% 6.5% 9.4% 8.1% 10.7% 8.8% 13.8% 10.8% 9.0% 5.7% 2.8% 0.3%
Linor Berezin 1.1% 1.4% 2.3% 1.7% 3.3% 2.6% 2.7% 3.2% 7.1% 8.1% 18.0% 26.4% 22.1%
Amanda Attardi 3.7% 3.3% 2.8% 4.4% 5.3% 5.4% 7.5% 8.6% 10.8% 14.7% 16.3% 11.3% 5.9%
Liana Folger 6.7% 8.5% 8.2% 8.9% 8.9% 10.1% 10.9% 12.0% 9.2% 7.7% 6.1% 2.4% 0.4%
Mary Margaret Meehan 1.3% 2.0% 2.9% 2.4% 4.0% 3.3% 5.2% 6.2% 7.7% 14.4% 16.5% 21.8% 12.3%
Casey Firth 0.6% 0.6% 0.7% 1.1% 1.1% 0.9% 1.6% 1.3% 3.6% 4.8% 9.1% 20.3% 54.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.