Race 4A

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

61.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Nancy Hagood 15.2% 13.3% 13.8% 11.0% 12.4% 11.1% 7.7% 6.9% 4.2% 3.0% 1.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Adelaide Ferguson 7.4% 7.8% 8.0% 8.6% 9.4% 11.8% 10.5% 10.3% 9.9% 7.6% 5.3% 2.8% 0.6%
Mary Hall 21.4% 22.0% 13.4% 13.3% 11.3% 7.1% 5.7% 3.0% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Catherine Shanahan 10.9% 11.5% 11.1% 13.1% 10.1% 10.5% 10.4% 8.3% 6.5% 5.2% 1.7% 0.5% 0.2%
Andrea Luna 11.3% 10.8% 13.6% 10.4% 10.6% 8.8% 11.6% 9.0% 6.0% 4.6% 2.6% 0.6% 0.1%
Liana Folger 7.5% 6.4% 8.3% 8.9% 8.4% 10.4% 9.7% 11.5% 9.2% 9.8% 6.2% 3.0% 0.7%
Amanda Attardi 4.0% 3.0% 4.6% 4.9% 4.2% 6.2% 6.0% 7.6% 13.7% 13.3% 15.6% 12.9% 4.0%
Jennifer Borshoff 9.2% 10.1% 9.5% 10.3% 11.2% 10.8% 12.0% 11.2% 5.8% 5.2% 3.5% 1.0% 0.2%
Eleanor Conroy 4.0% 3.2% 3.6% 5.1% 4.4% 5.7% 8.2% 9.5% 12.2% 13.9% 15.7% 10.3% 4.2%
Linor Berezin 1.0% 1.5% 2.0% 2.7% 2.8% 2.6% 2.5% 4.2% 7.3% 9.9% 16.0% 25.4% 22.1%
Maria Sinagra 5.9% 7.9% 9.0% 8.7% 9.5% 10.6% 9.5% 11.3% 11.3% 7.8% 5.5% 2.7% 0.3%
Mary Margaret Meehan 1.6% 1.7% 3.0% 2.0% 4.2% 3.5% 4.4% 5.8% 8.7% 13.9% 17.9% 20.8% 12.5%
Casey Firth 0.6% 0.8% 0.1% 1.0% 1.5% 0.9% 1.8% 1.4% 3.3% 5.2% 8.8% 19.6% 55.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.