Race 5A

maisa-women-fall-dinghy

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Mary Hall 22.7% 19.4% 17.0% 13.6% 8.6% 6.5% 5.9% 3.3% 1.9% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Andrea Luna 9.7% 11.8% 10.3% 11.9% 10.6% 10.5% 10.8% 7.5% 9.1% 4.7% 2.1% 0.9% 0.1%
Liana Folger 5.9% 7.0% 7.2% 8.8% 9.5% 10.1% 10.7% 11.3% 9.4% 9.7% 6.9% 2.7% 0.8%
Nancy Hagood 14.9% 12.6% 14.5% 11.8% 11.4% 11.1% 8.6% 6.4% 4.5% 2.3% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
Adelaide Ferguson 8.2% 7.1% 9.5% 8.0% 10.8% 8.0% 10.8% 10.5% 11.4% 8.0% 4.6% 1.9% 1.2%
Hannah McNomee 8.7% 7.8% 9.4% 8.4% 9.9% 11.6% 11.0% 9.7% 9.2% 7.2% 5.0% 1.8% 0.3%
Casey Firth 0.8% 0.7% 1.0% 1.0% 1.3% 1.8% 1.5% 2.4% 3.8% 5.0% 9.4% 16.7% 54.6%
Linor Berezin 1.4% 1.3% 2.0% 2.4% 3.0% 1.7% 3.4% 4.2% 6.0% 9.4% 14.8% 29.8% 20.6%
Eleanor Conroy 3.3% 4.7% 3.0% 4.1% 5.3% 6.8% 6.6% 7.6% 12.6% 13.9% 16.0% 11.0% 5.1%
Catherine Shanahan 11.8% 12.6% 11.3% 9.9% 12.0% 10.8% 8.5% 9.0% 5.7% 5.1% 2.6% 0.6% 0.1%
Amanda Attardi 2.9% 3.0% 3.7% 5.7% 5.2% 6.2% 6.8% 9.7% 11.8% 14.5% 14.9% 11.2% 4.4%
Jennifer Borshoff 8.2% 10.3% 9.2% 11.0% 9.9% 10.9% 10.7% 11.4% 6.5% 6.1% 3.7% 1.8% 0.3%
Mary Margaret Meehan 1.5% 1.7% 1.9% 3.4% 2.5% 4.0% 4.7% 7.0% 8.1% 13.4% 18.3% 21.1% 12.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.