← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1George Washington University2.67+5.03vs Predicted
-
2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.52+4.48vs Predicted
-
3Old Dominion University2.97+2.29vs Predicted
-
4Georgetown University3.28+0.47vs Predicted
-
5U. S. Naval Academy3.74-1.58vs Predicted
-
6Fordham University2.61+0.15vs Predicted
-
7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.03-1.96vs Predicted
-
8Cornell University2.85-2.49vs Predicted
-
9Christopher Newport University1.71-0.41vs Predicted
-
10Washington College1.81-1.72vs Predicted
-
11Queen's University0.87-0.64vs Predicted
-
12Columbia University1.30-2.34vs Predicted
-
13University of Virginia0.16-1.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.03George Washington University2.670.1%1st Place
-
6.48Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.520.1%1st Place
-
5.29Old Dominion University2.970.1%1st Place
-
4.47Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
-
3.42U. S. Naval Academy3.740.2%1st Place
-
6.15Fordham University2.610.1%1st Place
-
5.04St. Mary's College of Maryland3.030.1%1st Place
-
5.51Cornell University2.850.1%1st Place
-
8.59Christopher Newport University1.710.0%1st Place
-
8.28Washington College1.810.0%1st Place
-
10.36Queen's University0.870.0%1st Place
-
9.66Columbia University1.300.0%1st Place
-
11.74University of Virginia0.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah McNomee | 7.3% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 12.1% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Liana Folger | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 6.2% | 3.0% | 0.8% |
| Andrea Luna | 9.5% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 13.0% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Nancy Hagood | 13.8% | 14.2% | 14.5% | 11.6% | 12.6% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Mary Hall | 23.9% | 19.5% | 14.9% | 13.2% | 11.3% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Catherine Shanahan | 13.2% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 8.9% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 5.7% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Attardi | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 14.3% | 16.6% | 13.9% | 4.5% |
| Eleanor Conroy | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 14.5% | 14.4% | 10.8% | 4.6% |
| Linor Berezin | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 10.8% | 15.7% | 26.1% | 20.3% |
| Mary Margaret Meehan | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 12.5% | 18.2% | 21.8% | 11.9% |
| Casey Firth | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 5.8% | 9.7% | 17.0% | 56.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.