Race 8A

maisa-women-fall-dinghy

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Mary Hall 23.1% 17.6% 17.5% 12.4% 10.1% 7.7% 5.3% 3.4% 1.3% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Nancy Hagood 15.1% 12.7% 13.2% 13.5% 12.6% 9.5% 7.9% 6.8% 4.0% 2.9% 1.2% 0.6% 0.0%
Adelaide Ferguson 6.1% 7.2% 8.8% 9.3% 10.0% 10.3% 9.3% 11.2% 11.7% 8.2% 5.8% 1.8% 0.3%
Jennifer Borshoff 9.5% 9.7% 9.4% 11.1% 10.1% 10.4% 11.2% 10.6% 7.8% 5.4% 4.0% 0.5% 0.3%
Andrea Luna 11.6% 12.2% 10.3% 10.5% 10.5% 10.7% 10.5% 8.5% 7.1% 5.5% 1.8% 0.7% 0.1%
Catherine Shanahan 10.9% 13.4% 11.0% 11.2% 10.8% 12.0% 9.7% 7.0% 6.0% 4.5% 3.0% 0.4% 0.1%
Liana Folger 7.7% 8.4% 7.9% 6.5% 8.2% 10.1% 11.5% 10.5% 10.9% 9.0% 5.9% 2.7% 0.7%
Eleanor Conroy 3.2% 4.0% 4.6% 3.6% 5.2% 5.2% 7.8% 9.8% 12.6% 14.7% 14.1% 12.1% 3.1%
Hannah McNomee 7.0% 8.4% 7.9% 10.1% 9.9% 10.8% 10.1% 11.4% 8.4% 8.7% 4.6% 2.0% 0.7%
Linor Berezin 0.9% 1.2% 2.4% 2.6% 2.5% 2.3% 3.3% 3.1% 6.6% 9.4% 17.2% 26.2% 22.3%
Amanda Attardi 3.1% 2.7% 4.1% 5.0% 5.2% 6.1% 6.7% 10.4% 12.4% 13.0% 16.1% 10.5% 4.7%
Mary Margaret Meehan 1.1% 2.2% 2.4% 3.1% 3.9% 3.9% 4.5% 5.4% 8.6% 11.9% 18.6% 21.4% 13.0%
Casey Firth 0.7% 0.3% 0.5% 1.1% 1.0% 1.0% 2.2% 1.9% 2.6% 5.7% 7.3% 21.0% 54.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.