Race 9A

maisa-women-fall-dinghy

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Nancy Hagood 14.4% 14.8% 10.8% 13.6% 11.4% 11.8% 8.2% 6.7% 4.2% 3.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
Andrea Luna 10.3% 10.1% 12.6% 10.1% 11.2% 10.6% 9.8% 10.0% 6.9% 4.7% 2.2% 1.2% 0.3%
Mary Hall 22.1% 18.3% 16.7% 14.1% 10.8% 7.1% 5.4% 3.2% 1.5% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Hannah McNomee 7.4% 8.2% 8.9% 8.5% 10.6% 9.7% 11.0% 10.7% 10.4% 7.6% 5.1% 1.4% 0.5%
Amanda Attardi 3.7% 3.5% 3.0% 4.6% 4.8% 6.9% 6.7% 7.9% 10.7% 15.4% 16.6% 12.7% 3.5%
Liana Folger 7.2% 6.7% 8.4% 9.5% 7.2% 10.2% 10.4% 10.8% 11.4% 7.5% 7.4% 3.1% 0.2%
Adelaide Ferguson 8.0% 8.8% 8.8% 7.8% 9.3% 9.4% 10.4% 10.8% 11.1% 8.4% 4.2% 2.5% 0.5%
Jennifer Borshoff 8.9% 9.8% 10.7% 9.9% 9.8% 11.8% 11.6% 10.4% 7.4% 5.6% 2.9% 1.1% 0.1%
Mary Margaret Meehan 1.4% 3.3% 2.1% 2.7% 4.0% 3.3% 4.8% 5.0% 7.8% 15.0% 17.4% 20.6% 12.6%
Catherine Shanahan 12.5% 10.4% 12.1% 12.1% 10.6% 9.3% 8.9% 8.9% 6.3% 4.9% 3.3% 0.7% 0.0%
Eleanor Conroy 2.7% 4.1% 4.0% 5.5% 5.8% 6.8% 8.1% 9.7% 12.4% 12.6% 14.5% 9.7% 4.1%
Casey Firth 0.4% 0.8% 0.2% 0.4% 2.0% 1.1% 1.7% 2.3% 2.8% 5.7% 8.7% 18.2% 55.7%
Linor Berezin 1.0% 1.2% 1.7% 1.2% 2.5% 2.0% 3.0% 3.6% 7.1% 8.9% 16.8% 28.5% 22.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.