Race 10A

maisa-women-fall-dinghy

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Mary Hall 22.5% 18.4% 16.4% 13.5% 11.2% 6.3% 6.1% 2.5% 1.7% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Andrea Luna 11.0% 9.6% 11.2% 11.5% 12.0% 9.7% 10.8% 8.1% 6.9% 5.3% 2.6% 1.1% 0.2%
Nancy Hagood 13.4% 16.2% 12.7% 10.6% 12.1% 10.5% 8.9% 7.3% 5.0% 2.0% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Adelaide Ferguson 7.0% 6.5% 8.6% 10.8% 8.4% 9.1% 11.3% 11.1% 10.5% 8.5% 5.9% 1.8% 0.5%
Catherine Shanahan 11.6% 13.3% 11.2% 9.7% 10.6% 11.0% 11.2% 8.0% 6.6% 3.5% 2.7% 0.6% 0.0%
Hannah McNomee 8.2% 9.1% 8.0% 10.5% 9.2% 10.4% 11.0% 8.8% 8.8% 8.3% 5.4% 2.1% 0.2%
Eleanor Conroy 4.1% 3.5% 4.2% 5.0% 6.1% 6.5% 5.2% 9.4% 10.9% 14.9% 14.6% 12.3% 3.3%
Jennifer Borshoff 9.3% 10.7% 10.3% 9.5% 10.0% 11.3% 11.8% 10.3% 7.5% 5.4% 2.8% 1.0% 0.1%
Liana Folger 6.9% 5.9% 7.9% 7.9% 8.3% 11.9% 9.5% 11.2% 10.6% 9.1% 6.8% 3.6% 0.4%
Mary Margaret Meehan 1.8% 2.5% 3.0% 2.5% 3.5% 3.5% 4.6% 6.0% 10.1% 12.1% 19.4% 19.9% 11.1%
Amanda Attardi 2.6% 2.8% 4.1% 5.7% 5.9% 6.2% 4.9% 10.7% 11.6% 14.8% 14.3% 11.6% 4.8%
Casey Firth 0.4% 0.5% 0.6% 1.3% 1.1% 1.2% 1.7% 2.0% 3.6% 5.2% 8.1% 18.3% 56.0%
Linor Berezin 1.2% 1.0% 1.8% 1.5% 1.6% 2.4% 3.0% 4.6% 6.2% 9.9% 16.0% 27.4% 23.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.