Race 11A

maisa-women-fall-dinghy

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Nancy Hagood 15.5% 16.0% 11.4% 13.3% 12.0% 11.3% 8.1% 6.4% 4.2% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Mary Hall 22.2% 23.0% 15.8% 12.5% 9.3% 7.8% 5.4% 2.1% 1.3% 0.4% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1%
Andrea Luna 10.3% 11.0% 13.0% 12.1% 10.5% 11.5% 10.6% 7.6% 7.4% 4.0% 1.3% 0.6% 0.1%
Mary Margaret Meehan 1.7% 2.0% 2.7% 3.7% 3.9% 4.5% 5.1% 8.9% 8.6% 14.2% 16.3% 18.0% 10.4%
Amanda Attardi 3.5% 3.5% 3.2% 5.3% 7.1% 6.2% 7.4% 9.2% 10.5% 16.2% 13.6% 9.8% 4.5%
Catherine Shanahan 11.8% 13.4% 13.3% 10.7% 12.9% 10.0% 9.7% 8.3% 4.6% 2.9% 2.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Adelaide Ferguson 8.6% 8.5% 9.7% 8.6% 9.5% 11.4% 10.7% 9.7% 10.1% 7.1% 4.4% 1.4% 0.3%
Madison Oleson 2.8% 2.8% 3.6% 2.8% 3.5% 6.4% 6.8% 8.6% 12.5% 11.5% 17.6% 15.7% 5.4%
Casey Firth 0.8% 0.7% 0.9% 1.5% 1.2% 1.7% 2.2% 3.1% 3.7% 4.9% 9.2% 17.9% 52.2%
Jennifer Borshoff 11.3% 8.6% 11.6% 11.2% 11.3% 11.0% 9.8% 9.3% 6.1% 5.7% 2.7% 1.2% 0.2%
Eleanor Conroy 3.8% 2.8% 5.1% 6.4% 7.3% 6.3% 9.4% 10.2% 12.2% 13.4% 11.2% 7.8% 4.1%
Liana Folger 6.8% 6.0% 8.3% 10.1% 9.9% 8.7% 11.5% 11.6% 10.4% 8.7% 5.0% 2.6% 0.4%
Linor Berezin 0.9% 1.7% 1.4% 1.8% 1.6% 3.2% 3.3% 5.0% 8.4% 9.8% 16.1% 24.6% 22.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.