Race 12A

maisa-women-fall-dinghy

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Catherine Shanahan 11.8% 10.8% 12.6% 13.9% 10.2% 10.6% 10.4% 8.5% 5.9% 3.5% 1.0% 0.8% 0.0%
Jennifer Borshoff 9.6% 9.9% 10.6% 11.7% 12.2% 11.3% 9.4% 10.2% 7.3% 4.5% 2.0% 1.0% 0.3%
Eleanor Conroy 2.8% 3.2% 3.5% 5.6% 6.7% 5.9% 9.2% 11.0% 12.8% 13.6% 11.9% 9.8% 4.0%
Mary Hall 24.9% 20.3% 16.1% 13.0% 8.7% 8.0% 4.2% 3.0% 1.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Liana Folger 8.1% 8.1% 9.3% 9.4% 8.4% 10.6% 10.8% 11.2% 10.0% 7.5% 4.2% 2.0% 0.4%
Andrea Luna 11.3% 13.4% 11.7% 11.3% 10.9% 11.2% 9.7% 8.5% 5.7% 3.5% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1%
Mary Margaret Meehan 2.4% 2.5% 3.3% 2.9% 4.4% 4.7% 6.5% 6.3% 8.7% 14.2% 16.6% 17.5% 10.0%
Nancy Hagood 14.6% 15.4% 14.0% 12.7% 12.8% 11.7% 7.9% 4.9% 3.1% 1.8% 0.6% 0.5% 0.0%
Adelaide Ferguson 7.7% 8.7% 9.0% 7.2% 10.7% 11.5% 11.3% 11.5% 8.1% 7.6% 4.3% 1.9% 0.5%
Linor Berezin 0.9% 1.9% 2.3% 2.4% 2.4% 2.5% 3.6% 5.2% 8.4% 10.7% 15.0% 24.5% 20.2%
Amanda Attardi 3.3% 2.8% 4.0% 5.2% 7.1% 6.4% 7.5% 10.6% 13.2% 14.0% 13.5% 8.0% 4.4%
Madison Oleson 2.1% 2.3% 2.9% 3.6% 4.5% 4.5% 7.3% 6.9% 11.7% 12.9% 17.6% 16.4% 7.3%
Casey Firth 0.5% 0.7% 0.7% 1.1% 1.0% 1.1% 2.2% 2.2% 4.0% 5.7% 11.0% 17.0% 52.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.