← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Yale University3.89+6.63vs Predicted
-
2Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87+5.64vs Predicted
-
3Dartmouth College3.58+5.97vs Predicted
-
4Roger Williams University3.04+6.89vs Predicted
-
5Georgetown University4.51+0.13vs Predicted
-
6Boston University3.63+2.48vs Predicted
-
7Tufts University3.56+1.79vs Predicted
-
8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.56+0.74vs Predicted
-
9Brown University3.23+1.22vs Predicted
-
10U. S. Naval Academy3.34+0.03vs Predicted
-
11Eckerd College2.77+1.26vs Predicted
-
12Harvard University2.99-0.38vs Predicted
-
13University of Rhode Island2.93-1.69vs Predicted
-
14Boston College3.49-5.17vs Predicted
-
15Salve Regina University3.36-5.39vs Predicted
-
16Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.65-3.31vs Predicted
-
17Connecticut College3.02-5.78vs Predicted
-
18College of Charleston3.95-11.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.63Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
-
7.64Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
-
8.97Dartmouth College3.580.1%1st Place
-
10.89Roger Williams University3.040.0%1st Place
-
5.13Georgetown University4.510.2%1st Place
-
8.48Boston University3.630.1%1st Place
-
8.79Tufts University3.560.1%1st Place
-
8.74St. Mary's College of Maryland3.560.1%1st Place
-
10.22Brown University3.230.0%1st Place
-
10.03U. S. Naval Academy3.340.1%1st Place
-
12.26Eckerd College2.770.0%1st Place
-
11.62Harvard University2.990.0%1st Place
-
11.31University of Rhode Island2.930.0%1st Place
-
8.83Boston College3.490.1%1st Place
-
9.61Salve Regina University3.360.0%1st Place
-
12.69Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.650.0%1st Place
-
11.22Connecticut College3.020.0%1st Place
-
6.95College of Charleston3.950.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam Cullman | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Edward Glackin | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.8% |
| Tucker Blagden | 3.7% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 9.1% |
| Sydney Bolger | 15.7% | 15.6% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Daniel Perkins | 6.8% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.0% |
| Nicolas Russo-Larsson | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.5% |
| Frederick Whitman | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.2% |
| Tyler Rice | 3.9% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% |
| Devin Laviano | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.0% |
| Jeff Hahl | 3.2% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 11.9% | 15.7% |
| Colin Santangelo | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 10.4% |
| James Simmons | 3.7% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 10.4% |
| Daniel Bloomstine | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.6% |
| Kyle Carney | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.0% |
| Steven Drapcho | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 12.0% | 19.3% |
| Wells Bacon | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 9.2% |
| Ben Spector | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.