Race 13A

maisa-women-fall-dinghy

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Mary Hall 23.4% 18.7% 16.3% 13.4% 9.3% 7.1% 5.8% 2.6% 2.2% 0.6% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Nancy Hagood 14.2% 14.3% 13.8% 13.1% 10.8% 10.8% 7.5% 7.2% 4.1% 2.2% 1.9% 0.1% 0.0%
Jennifer Borshoff 8.7% 9.1% 11.1% 10.5% 11.8% 9.2% 10.5% 11.0% 7.7% 6.5% 2.7% 1.0% 0.2%
Liana Folger 5.9% 8.5% 6.2% 9.5% 9.3% 10.6% 9.5% 10.3% 10.3% 9.1% 7.8% 2.5% 0.5%
Maria Sinagra 7.8% 6.7% 7.6% 9.4% 8.7% 9.5% 9.8% 10.9% 10.2% 9.6% 6.3% 2.8% 0.7%
Catherine Shanahan 11.9% 11.8% 13.4% 9.9% 11.9% 10.2% 9.7% 6.8% 7.1% 3.9% 3.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Andrea Luna 11.4% 13.2% 10.0% 8.8% 11.1% 12.3% 10.9% 7.4% 6.8% 5.3% 2.5% 0.2% 0.1%
Linor Berezin 1.2% 1.9% 1.7% 1.7% 3.9% 3.0% 1.5% 3.8% 7.8% 10.7% 14.3% 27.7% 20.8%
Adelaide Ferguson 6.8% 6.8% 9.4% 9.6% 7.9% 10.5% 11.8% 10.6% 9.6% 8.2% 6.2% 1.9% 0.7%
Amanda Attardi 3.2% 3.6% 3.6% 3.2% 5.0% 6.0% 7.6% 10.5% 10.1% 14.5% 14.2% 12.7% 5.8%
Eleanor Conroy 3.5% 3.3% 3.9% 6.6% 5.7% 5.6% 7.9% 11.1% 13.0% 12.2% 13.1% 10.8% 3.3%
Mary Margaret Meehan 1.2% 1.9% 2.4% 3.4% 3.4% 3.9% 5.7% 5.7% 8.6% 11.4% 18.7% 20.2% 13.5%
Casey Firth 0.8% 0.2% 0.6% 0.9% 1.2% 1.3% 1.8% 2.1% 2.5% 5.8% 8.5% 19.9% 54.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.