Race 1B

maisa-women-fall-dinghy

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
India Johnstone 10.1% 12.2% 11.3% 12.3% 12.4% 9.4% 10.4% 9.5% 5.2% 3.9% 2.3% 0.9% 0.1%
Katia DaSilva 31.4% 24.9% 17.3% 10.2% 5.7% 4.8% 3.6% 1.3% 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Christine Moloney 5.4% 7.2% 9.1% 8.8% 9.8% 10.4% 10.4% 9.8% 11.6% 7.7% 6.3% 2.7% 0.8%
Quinn Howes 6.7% 7.3% 7.5% 10.7% 10.6% 10.7% 10.9% 9.7% 9.7% 8.4% 5.4% 2.0% 0.4%
Marissa Golison 12.5% 14.6% 12.3% 12.3% 10.8% 11.4% 8.4% 7.7% 4.9% 2.6% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
Johanna Monro 6.1% 5.7% 7.0% 7.8% 9.3% 10.2% 9.3% 11.9% 9.9% 9.6% 8.2% 4.1% 0.9%
Hannah Schmidt 6.1% 4.4% 6.7% 6.9% 5.5% 7.8% 10.0% 10.0% 12.9% 10.8% 9.5% 7.5% 1.9%
Colleen Roney 1.7% 1.9% 1.4% 2.7% 3.9% 2.1% 3.1% 6.5% 8.1% 10.2% 14.3% 21.5% 22.6%
Sarah Streater 7.9% 7.0% 9.2% 9.9% 11.8% 9.8% 11.4% 9.1% 8.0% 8.0% 5.3% 1.5% 1.1%
Shelby Locke 1.1% 1.7% 2.2% 2.8% 2.2% 2.3% 3.7% 4.2% 7.0% 10.6% 13.8% 22.0% 26.4%
Jackie Muru 1.4% 1.8% 2.6% 4.1% 4.9% 5.3% 4.6% 7.7% 9.1% 12.9% 16.5% 16.4% 12.7%
Hannah Hughes 8.6% 10.1% 12.2% 10.0% 11.2% 12.6% 10.8% 8.4% 7.7% 5.1% 1.9% 1.0% 0.4%
Catherine Thies 1.0% 1.2% 1.2% 1.5% 1.9% 3.2% 3.4% 4.2% 5.7% 9.9% 14.3% 19.9% 32.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.