Race 2B

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
India Johnstone 10.1% 11.4% 12.3% 11.8% 11.3% 11.7% 10.1% 8.5% 6.2% 3.9% 1.9% 0.5% 0.3%
Katia DaSilva 32.8% 23.6% 16.1% 10.5% 6.7% 5.6% 2.2% 1.4% 0.8% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Johanna Monro 4.5% 5.5% 6.4% 9.8% 7.8% 9.6% 9.7% 10.8% 11.5% 11.3% 8.0% 4.3% 0.8%
Sarah Streater 6.4% 8.4% 10.1% 9.6% 10.1% 8.7% 11.3% 10.4% 9.8% 9.0% 3.9% 1.9% 0.4%
Christine Moloney 7.4% 7.0% 8.6% 10.5% 9.5% 8.1% 11.7% 11.4% 10.1% 7.4% 5.5% 2.1% 0.7%
Hannah Hughes 10.4% 11.9% 11.1% 11.0% 11.3% 11.3% 10.1% 8.4% 6.1% 5.1% 2.1% 1.0% 0.2%
Colleen Roney 1.9% 1.6% 2.4% 2.3% 3.4% 2.8% 4.6% 5.7% 6.8% 9.7% 15.4% 22.2% 21.2%
Marissa Golison 11.9% 13.5% 12.0% 11.2% 13.1% 12.6% 8.1% 7.6% 5.0% 2.5% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1%
Quinn Howes 7.0% 7.7% 8.2% 8.8% 10.7% 10.5% 11.2% 9.8% 9.5% 8.3% 4.7% 2.8% 0.8%
Catherine Thies 0.9% 1.7% 1.9% 2.1% 3.0% 2.7% 2.3% 4.7% 6.7% 9.2% 15.8% 19.4% 29.6%
Hannah Schmidt 4.4% 4.5% 6.3% 7.8% 7.5% 9.7% 9.8% 9.9% 11.3% 11.5% 9.8% 5.4% 2.1%
Shelby Locke 1.0% 0.9% 2.2% 2.1% 2.2% 3.0% 3.9% 4.2% 5.8% 9.7% 14.3% 21.6% 29.1%
Jackie Muru 1.3% 2.3% 2.4% 2.5% 3.4% 3.7% 5.0% 7.2% 10.4% 12.3% 16.5% 18.3% 14.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.