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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.33+4.25vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.46+0.74vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University2.03+3.05vs Predicted
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4George Washington University2.38+1.11vs Predicted
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5Cornell University1.97+1.03vs Predicted
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6Fordham University1.72+0.74vs Predicted
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7Washington College1.52+0.28vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50-3.23vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.92-2.68vs Predicted
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10Queen's University0.69-0.52vs Predicted
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11Columbia University0.23-0.60vs Predicted
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12Christopher Newport University0.28-1.52vs Predicted
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13University of Virginia0.39-2.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.25U. S. Naval Academy2.330.1%1st Place
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2.74Georgetown University3.460.3%1st Place
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6.05Old Dominion University2.030.1%1st Place
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5.11George Washington University2.380.1%1st Place
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6.03Cornell University1.970.1%1st Place
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6.74Fordham University1.720.1%1st Place
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7.28Washington College1.520.1%1st Place
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4.77St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.1%1st Place
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6.32Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.920.1%1st Place
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9.48Queen's University0.690.0%1st Place
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10.4Columbia University0.230.0%1st Place
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10.48Christopher Newport University0.280.0%1st Place
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10.35University of Virginia0.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Hughes | 9.0% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% |
| Katia DaSilva | 32.6% | 23.9% | 15.2% | 12.6% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Streater | 6.2% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.9% |
| India Johnstone | 9.8% | 10.9% | 12.3% | 13.2% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| Quinn Howes | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 0.3% |
| Johanna Monro | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 4.6% | 1.0% |
| Hannah Schmidt | 5.5% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 12.0% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 1.6% |
| Marissa Golison | 11.8% | 13.8% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 14.8% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Christine Moloney | 6.4% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Jackie Muru | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 17.5% | 17.8% | 14.0% |
| Catherine Thies | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 11.0% | 13.7% | 22.5% | 25.3% |
| Shelby Locke | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 8.7% | 14.5% | 21.6% | 29.0% |
| Colleen Roney | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 10.7% | 15.7% | 18.9% | 26.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.