← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
69.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Georgetown University3.46+1.79vs Predicted
-
2Cornell University1.97+4.18vs Predicted
-
3George Washington University2.38+2.12vs Predicted
-
4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50+0.81vs Predicted
-
5U. S. Naval Academy2.33+0.16vs Predicted
-
6Old Dominion University2.03-0.08vs Predicted
-
7Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.92-0.79vs Predicted
-
8Fordham University1.72-1.22vs Predicted
-
9Queen's University0.69+0.51vs Predicted
-
10Washington College1.52-2.69vs Predicted
-
11Columbia University0.23-0.64vs Predicted
-
12Christopher Newport University0.28-1.46vs Predicted
-
13University of Virginia0.39-2.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.79Georgetown University3.460.3%1st Place
-
6.18Cornell University1.970.1%1st Place
-
5.12George Washington University2.380.1%1st Place
-
4.81St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.1%1st Place
-
5.16U. S. Naval Academy2.330.1%1st Place
-
5.92Old Dominion University2.030.1%1st Place
-
6.21Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.920.1%1st Place
-
6.78Fordham University1.720.1%1st Place
-
9.51Queen's University0.690.0%1st Place
-
7.31Washington College1.520.1%1st Place
-
10.36Columbia University0.230.0%1st Place
-
10.54Christopher Newport University0.280.0%1st Place
-
10.3University of Virginia0.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katia DaSilva | 30.5% | 23.7% | 15.7% | 13.2% | 8.3% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Quinn Howes | 6.8% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| India Johnstone | 8.8% | 13.1% | 10.4% | 13.3% | 10.9% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Marissa Golison | 12.1% | 11.7% | 13.5% | 12.4% | 12.3% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Hannah Hughes | 10.8% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Streater | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| Christine Moloney | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Johanna Monro | 5.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 1.2% |
| Jackie Muru | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 13.8% | 17.2% | 16.9% | 15.3% |
| Hannah Schmidt | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 6.0% | 3.3% |
| Catherine Thies | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 11.1% | 14.9% | 21.7% | 24.6% |
| Shelby Locke | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 14.0% | 22.2% | 28.8% |
| Colleen Roney | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 15.9% | 20.1% | 25.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.