Race 5B

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
India Johnstone 10.0% 12.5% 11.4% 11.3% 11.3% 12.5% 8.5% 9.2% 6.1% 4.4% 2.1% 0.4% 0.3%
Christine Moloney 6.5% 7.0% 6.3% 10.6% 9.7% 11.1% 11.4% 10.1% 10.1% 8.4% 5.4% 2.5% 0.9%
Quinn Howes 5.9% 8.4% 8.3% 9.5% 10.4% 10.7% 9.9% 11.3% 10.4% 7.2% 5.1% 2.5% 0.4%
Marissa Golison 11.2% 13.4% 12.4% 12.1% 13.2% 10.1% 9.0% 6.8% 6.7% 3.0% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2%
Hannah Hughes 11.1% 11.2% 12.4% 10.8% 10.4% 11.1% 10.7% 9.4% 5.5% 4.1% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1%
Sarah Streater 8.1% 7.6% 9.6% 10.9% 8.9% 10.2% 11.9% 9.3% 8.2% 8.1% 4.8% 1.9% 0.5%
Shelby Locke 1.5% 2.1% 2.1% 1.8% 2.1% 2.6% 5.0% 5.2% 7.2% 8.5% 14.3% 21.7% 25.9%
Katia DaSilva 32.5% 21.5% 17.4% 12.2% 9.4% 3.2% 1.7% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Hannah Schmidt 5.0% 5.3% 4.8% 6.1% 8.1% 8.1% 8.2% 10.6% 13.1% 11.6% 10.0% 6.8% 2.3%
Catherine Thies 0.8% 1.6% 2.4% 2.0% 2.7% 2.9% 3.1% 4.7% 5.3% 10.8% 14.3% 20.4% 29.0%
Johanna Monro 4.7% 6.4% 8.3% 8.4% 7.4% 9.9% 11.0% 10.5% 12.1% 10.0% 6.8% 3.2% 1.3%
Jackie Muru 1.6% 1.8% 2.8% 2.1% 3.8% 4.9% 5.9% 5.3% 8.2% 13.1% 16.3% 19.3% 14.9%
Colleen Roney 1.1% 1.2% 1.8% 2.2% 2.6% 2.7% 3.7% 6.1% 6.6% 10.7% 17.1% 20.0% 24.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.