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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50+3.81vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.33+3.22vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.46-0.20vs Predicted
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4Columbia University0.23+6.54vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.38-0.01vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University2.03-0.05vs Predicted
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7Cornell University1.97-0.95vs Predicted
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8Washington College1.52-0.72vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.92-2.64vs Predicted
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10Queen's University0.69-0.53vs Predicted
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11University of Virginia0.39-0.95vs Predicted
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12Christopher Newport University0.28-1.51vs Predicted
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13Fordham University1.72-6.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.81St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.1%1st Place
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5.22U. S. Naval Academy2.330.1%1st Place
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2.8Georgetown University3.460.3%1st Place
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10.54Columbia University0.230.0%1st Place
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4.99George Washington University2.380.1%1st Place
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5.95Old Dominion University2.030.1%1st Place
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6.05Cornell University1.970.1%1st Place
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7.28Washington College1.520.0%1st Place
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6.36Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.920.1%1st Place
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9.47Queen's University0.690.0%1st Place
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10.05University of Virginia0.390.0%1st Place
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10.49Christopher Newport University0.280.0%1st Place
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6.99Fordham University1.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marissa Golison | 11.3% | 12.0% | 15.0% | 12.7% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Hannah Hughes | 9.7% | 11.0% | 11.4% | 11.9% | 12.3% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Katia DaSilva | 32.5% | 22.1% | 14.9% | 12.7% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Catherine Thies | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 13.7% | 22.1% | 29.5% |
| India Johnstone | 10.0% | 14.2% | 12.6% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Sarah Streater | 7.8% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 0.2% |
| Quinn Howes | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 5.3% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Hannah Schmidt | 3.7% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 13.0% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 8.6% | 5.6% | 2.8% |
| Christine Moloney | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| Jackie Muru | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 12.3% | 16.1% | 18.5% | 14.3% |
| Colleen Roney | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 8.5% | 12.0% | 16.7% | 19.1% | 20.7% |
| Shelby Locke | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 13.0% | 22.2% | 28.9% |
| Johanna Monro | 4.9% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 12.1% | 9.9% | 12.1% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 1.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.