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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.46+1.78vs Predicted
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2George Washington University2.38+3.09vs Predicted
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3Cornell University1.97+3.21vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50+0.81vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.92+1.20vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.33-0.86vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University2.03-1.12vs Predicted
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8Washington College1.52-0.69vs Predicted
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9Fordham University1.72-2.13vs Predicted
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10Christopher Newport University0.28+0.37vs Predicted
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11University of Virginia0.39-0.97vs Predicted
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12Queen's University0.69-2.37vs Predicted
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13Columbia University0.23-2.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.78Georgetown University3.460.3%1st Place
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5.09George Washington University2.380.1%1st Place
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6.21Cornell University1.970.1%1st Place
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4.81St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.1%1st Place
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6.2Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.920.1%1st Place
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5.14U. S. Naval Academy2.330.1%1st Place
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5.88Old Dominion University2.030.1%1st Place
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7.31Washington College1.520.0%1st Place
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6.87Fordham University1.720.0%1st Place
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10.37Christopher Newport University0.280.0%1st Place
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10.03University of Virginia0.390.0%1st Place
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9.63Queen's University0.690.0%1st Place
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10.69Columbia University0.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katia DaSilva | 31.2% | 23.5% | 16.9% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| India Johnstone | 10.1% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 13.0% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Quinn Howes | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
| Marissa Golison | 11.8% | 12.7% | 12.6% | 13.4% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% |
| Christine Moloney | 8.1% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 5.4% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Hannah Hughes | 10.7% | 11.4% | 11.5% | 11.9% | 12.3% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Sarah Streater | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 0.1% |
| Hannah Schmidt | 3.8% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 12.1% | 10.0% | 12.3% | 9.6% | 5.6% | 2.3% |
| Johanna Monro | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 7.1% | 4.1% | 1.2% |
| Shelby Locke | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 16.4% | 21.7% | 26.1% |
| Colleen Roney | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 12.1% | 16.0% | 19.6% | 20.6% |
| Jackie Muru | 1.2% | 1.3% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 16.0% | 19.5% | 15.4% |
| Catherine Thies | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 13.9% | 20.1% | 32.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.