Race 8B

maisa-women-fall-dinghy

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

61.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Katia DaSilva 30.7% 24.0% 15.2% 12.4% 7.9% 4.8% 2.8% 1.4% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Marissa Golison 10.8% 13.0% 13.4% 12.4% 11.8% 10.8% 9.5% 7.3% 5.7% 3.3% 1.1% 0.6% 0.3%
India Johnstone 9.9% 10.6% 13.3% 11.7% 10.6% 12.3% 11.5% 6.7% 6.2% 4.6% 2.0% 0.4% 0.2%
Johanna Monro 5.3% 5.9% 6.1% 8.3% 9.5% 10.0% 9.2% 10.1% 11.8% 10.1% 8.3% 4.2% 1.2%
Christine Moloney 7.8% 6.4% 8.4% 9.8% 9.6% 9.7% 9.5% 11.7% 10.3% 7.3% 6.2% 2.7% 0.6%
Quinn Howes 7.4% 8.7% 7.8% 9.6% 11.3% 9.9% 11.1% 10.2% 8.7% 6.7% 6.5% 1.6% 0.5%
Sarah Streater 8.0% 9.0% 11.2% 7.9% 8.9% 11.5% 9.6% 10.7% 9.6% 7.3% 4.3% 1.7% 0.3%
Jackie Muru 1.9% 2.6% 2.7% 2.9% 3.3% 4.7% 5.6% 6.9% 9.7% 12.5% 15.3% 18.0% 13.9%
Hannah Schmidt 4.1% 5.2% 6.1% 5.9% 7.1% 8.0% 10.9% 10.5% 10.8% 13.5% 9.6% 5.8% 2.5%
Hannah Hughes 10.8% 10.4% 11.7% 12.7% 11.9% 9.9% 9.2% 8.4% 6.4% 4.5% 2.8% 0.8% 0.5%
Catherine Thies 1.0% 1.4% 1.2% 2.0% 3.2% 3.4% 3.4% 4.7% 7.2% 9.7% 15.7% 21.3% 25.8%
Colleen Roney 1.0% 1.5% 1.5% 2.5% 2.6% 2.9% 4.6% 6.2% 6.4% 9.9% 15.0% 20.6% 25.3%
Shelby Locke 1.3% 1.3% 1.4% 1.9% 2.3% 2.1% 3.1% 5.2% 6.4% 10.6% 13.2% 22.3% 28.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.