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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.56+7.99vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College3.02+9.37vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87+4.72vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.56+4.75vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy3.34+4.67vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.95+1.19vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.89+0.40vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University3.04+2.95vs Predicted
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9Boston University3.63-0.58vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.65+2.84vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University4.51-5.78vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College3.58-2.98vs Predicted
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13Boston College3.49-4.04vs Predicted
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14Harvard University2.99-3.11vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island2.93-3.55vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University3.36-6.23vs Predicted
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17Brown University3.23-6.63vs Predicted
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18Eckerd College2.77-5.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.99St. Mary's College of Maryland3.560.1%1st Place
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11.37Connecticut College3.020.0%1st Place
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7.72Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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8.75Tufts University3.560.1%1st Place
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9.67U. S. Naval Academy3.340.0%1st Place
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7.19College of Charleston3.950.1%1st Place
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7.4Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
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10.95Roger Williams University3.040.0%1st Place
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8.42Boston University3.630.1%1st Place
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12.84Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.650.0%1st Place
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5.22Georgetown University4.510.2%1st Place
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9.02Dartmouth College3.580.1%1st Place
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8.96Boston College3.490.1%1st Place
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10.89Harvard University2.990.0%1st Place
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11.45University of Rhode Island2.930.0%1st Place
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9.77Salve Regina University3.360.0%1st Place
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10.37Brown University3.230.0%1st Place
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12.01Eckerd College2.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frederick Whitman | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 1.9% |
| Wells Bacon | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 9.2% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Nicolas Russo-Larsson | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.2% |
| Devin Laviano | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 4.5% |
| Ben Spector | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.1% |
| Cam Cullman | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.0% |
| Tucker Blagden | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 8.5% |
| Daniel Perkins | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.5% |
| Steven Drapcho | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 13.4% | 19.1% |
| Sydney Bolger | 15.6% | 13.9% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Edward Glackin | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 2.7% |
| Daniel Bloomstine | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 2.8% |
| Colin Santangelo | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 9.7% |
| James Simmons | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 9.5% |
| Kyle Carney | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 4.6% |
| Tyler Rice | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% |
| Jeff Hahl | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 13.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.