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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.46+1.80vs Predicted
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2Cornell University1.97+4.16vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50+1.85vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.92+2.34vs Predicted
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5Fordham University1.72+1.72vs Predicted
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6George Washington University2.38-0.95vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.33-1.82vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University2.03-2.04vs Predicted
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9Christopher Newport University0.28+1.37vs Predicted
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10Washington College1.52-2.71vs Predicted
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11Queen's University0.69-1.68vs Predicted
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12University of Virginia0.39-1.69vs Predicted
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13Columbia University0.23-2.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.8Georgetown University3.460.3%1st Place
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6.16Cornell University1.970.1%1st Place
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4.85St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.1%1st Place
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6.34Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.920.1%1st Place
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6.72Fordham University1.720.1%1st Place
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5.05George Washington University2.380.1%1st Place
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5.18U. S. Naval Academy2.330.1%1st Place
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5.96Old Dominion University2.030.1%1st Place
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10.37Christopher Newport University0.280.0%1st Place
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7.29Washington College1.520.1%1st Place
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9.32Queen's University0.690.0%1st Place
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10.31University of Virginia0.390.0%1st Place
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10.64Columbia University0.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katia DaSilva | 30.8% | 22.8% | 16.5% | 12.5% | 8.7% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Quinn Howes | 7.0% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Marissa Golison | 10.1% | 13.6% | 13.3% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Christine Moloney | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 11.8% | 6.4% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 3.0% | 0.6% |
| Johanna Monro | 6.7% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 1.3% |
| India Johnstone | 10.7% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 12.0% | 12.3% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Hannah Hughes | 10.5% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Streater | 7.0% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 12.2% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Shelby Locke | 1.0% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 16.0% | 20.3% | 28.3% |
| Hannah Schmidt | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 13.3% | 9.1% | 5.4% | 2.8% |
| Jackie Muru | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 14.5% | 16.9% | 16.7% | 11.5% |
| Colleen Roney | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 9.9% | 14.1% | 22.5% | 24.7% |
| Catherine Thies | 1.2% | 0.7% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 15.4% | 22.9% | 29.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.