Race 10B

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Katia DaSilva 30.6% 24.4% 15.0% 11.8% 9.7% 3.6% 2.6% 1.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
India Johnstone 11.2% 10.2% 12.4% 11.6% 13.3% 9.7% 8.9% 9.3% 6.3% 3.8% 2.1% 1.1% 0.1%
Quinn Howes 5.9% 7.9% 9.4% 9.6% 8.7% 10.1% 11.5% 10.8% 11.1% 7.2% 5.0% 2.2% 0.6%
Christine Moloney 6.7% 6.9% 8.4% 9.9% 9.1% 11.2% 9.8% 10.3% 8.7% 10.0% 5.5% 2.7% 0.8%
Johanna Monro 6.5% 5.9% 7.6% 8.2% 8.3% 9.4% 9.0% 11.1% 11.8% 9.6% 7.6% 4.0% 1.0%
Sarah Streater 8.1% 8.6% 9.3% 9.7% 10.6% 10.5% 11.1% 8.3% 9.1% 6.1% 6.0% 2.3% 0.3%
Marissa Golison 12.0% 14.1% 12.3% 12.1% 13.1% 9.9% 7.9% 8.2% 5.4% 2.8% 1.3% 0.9% 0.0%
Hannah Hughes 10.0% 10.8% 11.7% 12.3% 9.7% 13.2% 10.8% 8.4% 5.5% 4.7% 1.8% 1.0% 0.1%
Hannah Schmidt 4.0% 5.1% 6.5% 5.2% 6.8% 8.5% 10.5% 11.7% 11.1% 13.1% 8.7% 6.5% 2.3%
Jackie Muru 1.8% 2.5% 2.6% 3.4% 2.7% 4.6% 5.0% 5.9% 10.2% 13.6% 16.4% 17.3% 14.0%
Shelby Locke 1.2% 1.3% 1.4% 2.1% 2.7% 3.5% 5.2% 4.8% 7.2% 10.0% 14.9% 22.1% 23.6%
Colleen Roney 0.9% 1.4% 1.6% 1.9% 3.5% 3.5% 4.3% 5.8% 6.6% 8.9% 15.9% 20.4% 25.3%
Catherine Thies 1.1% 0.9% 1.8% 2.2% 1.8% 2.3% 3.4% 4.0% 6.3% 10.1% 14.7% 19.5% 31.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.