Race 11B

maisa-women-fall-dinghy

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

61.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Katia DaSilva 30.9% 23.4% 15.7% 12.7% 7.5% 4.8% 2.8% 1.4% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Marissa Golison 11.1% 13.5% 12.7% 11.7% 12.2% 11.6% 8.4% 7.9% 5.5% 3.4% 1.1% 0.6% 0.3%
Hannah Hughes 8.7% 10.9% 12.2% 11.4% 11.2% 11.9% 11.1% 8.8% 6.0% 4.5% 2.6% 0.5% 0.2%
Johanna Monro 5.4% 5.5% 6.7% 9.1% 8.9% 8.6% 9.9% 11.1% 10.1% 10.5% 8.1% 5.1% 1.0%
Sarah Streater 8.2% 8.3% 9.7% 8.8% 11.0% 9.7% 10.8% 10.4% 9.3% 6.7% 4.6% 2.2% 0.3%
Quinn Howes 7.5% 7.4% 8.8% 9.1% 10.6% 10.9% 11.6% 9.5% 8.1% 8.2% 5.7% 2.2% 0.4%
Christine Moloney 7.4% 7.7% 9.3% 8.9% 8.8% 9.6% 10.6% 11.0% 10.8% 8.1% 4.6% 2.4% 0.8%
Hannah Schmidt 4.2% 6.4% 4.8% 6.6% 6.9% 9.4% 9.1% 11.9% 11.1% 13.4% 8.9% 5.6% 1.7%
Jackie Muru 1.8% 2.0% 3.3% 3.1% 4.2% 4.1% 4.7% 4.5% 10.2% 13.1% 16.7% 16.5% 15.8%
India Johnstone 11.5% 10.9% 12.3% 12.1% 12.1% 10.2% 8.8% 8.6% 6.0% 3.9% 2.2% 1.3% 0.1%
Catherine Thies 1.0% 1.2% 1.7% 1.8% 2.6% 2.9% 5.0% 4.2% 7.7% 9.9% 15.4% 21.3% 25.3%
Shelby Locke 0.9% 1.4% 1.0% 2.6% 2.0% 3.2% 4.0% 4.9% 6.0% 9.2% 13.3% 22.6% 28.9%
Colleen Roney 1.4% 1.4% 1.8% 2.1% 2.0% 3.1% 3.2% 5.8% 8.4% 9.1% 16.8% 19.7% 25.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.