Race 12B

maisa-women-fall-dinghy

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

76.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Katia DaSilva 31.5% 23.0% 15.9% 12.2% 8.0% 5.2% 2.2% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
India Johnstone 10.2% 11.9% 11.8% 12.0% 10.6% 11.9% 10.3% 7.6% 6.6% 4.2% 1.7% 1.0% 0.2%
Sarah Streater 6.3% 8.5% 8.5% 10.7% 10.6% 10.2% 10.0% 12.7% 8.8% 6.3% 5.3% 1.5% 0.6%
Hannah Hughes 9.8% 10.8% 11.3% 12.4% 9.6% 12.0% 10.4% 8.7% 7.6% 4.2% 2.4% 0.6% 0.2%
Quinn Howes 8.7% 6.6% 9.7% 9.0% 10.4% 9.4% 9.7% 12.9% 8.9% 7.1% 5.3% 2.0% 0.3%
Marissa Golison 12.1% 12.5% 13.8% 12.4% 11.8% 9.9% 8.9% 6.9% 5.9% 3.5% 1.7% 0.4% 0.2%
Johanna Monro 6.4% 6.9% 7.5% 6.7% 7.5% 10.2% 11.3% 9.2% 11.4% 10.5% 7.3% 4.0% 1.1%
Christine Moloney 6.6% 8.7% 7.3% 8.5% 10.7% 9.2% 12.0% 10.6% 9.8% 7.6% 6.0% 1.9% 1.1%
Jackie Muru 1.6% 2.7% 3.1% 3.2% 4.0% 4.2% 4.2% 4.6% 10.6% 13.2% 15.2% 17.3% 16.1%
Catherine Thies 1.0% 1.6% 2.2% 2.5% 2.1% 2.6% 3.3% 3.9% 5.2% 10.0% 14.2% 22.0% 29.4%
Colleen Roney 1.2% 1.6% 1.2% 2.8% 3.8% 3.0% 4.9% 6.1% 8.0% 11.0% 16.0% 21.2% 19.2%
Shelby Locke 0.9% 1.2% 1.6% 1.8% 2.7% 3.3% 4.9% 3.6% 5.2% 8.7% 15.4% 22.2% 28.5%
Hannah Schmidt 3.7% 4.0% 6.1% 5.8% 8.2% 8.9% 7.9% 11.7% 11.6% 13.6% 9.5% 5.9% 3.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.