Race 13B

maisa-women-fall-dinghy

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

61.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Katia DaSilva 31.4% 22.5% 17.0% 11.1% 7.8% 5.3% 2.7% 1.2% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Marissa Golison 11.8% 11.9% 13.3% 13.0% 12.4% 10.3% 9.1% 7.3% 5.7% 2.8% 1.6% 0.7% 0.1%
India Johnstone 9.0% 11.7% 12.7% 11.2% 11.2% 11.5% 12.3% 7.5% 6.3% 4.0% 1.9% 0.5% 0.2%
Christine Moloney 7.1% 6.4% 8.1% 10.9% 8.8% 9.4% 10.9% 11.5% 9.6% 7.9% 5.6% 3.0% 0.8%
Hannah Hughes 10.8% 11.6% 11.4% 10.8% 11.9% 9.1% 10.7% 10.6% 6.1% 3.4% 2.8% 0.7% 0.1%
Sarah Streater 7.7% 7.8% 9.5% 10.6% 10.2% 11.7% 10.1% 8.7% 8.9% 8.0% 3.8% 2.3% 0.7%
Quinn Howes 7.9% 8.5% 9.4% 8.9% 9.2% 10.9% 9.8% 11.1% 9.6% 7.3% 4.2% 3.0% 0.2%
Johanna Monro 5.2% 7.8% 5.8% 7.4% 8.7% 8.5% 12.0% 11.3% 10.3% 10.4% 7.4% 3.9% 1.3%
Jackie Muru 1.8% 1.8% 3.2% 3.7% 3.9% 4.1% 4.3% 5.9% 9.5% 11.7% 17.2% 18.1% 14.8%
Colleen Roney 1.0% 2.3% 2.0% 2.5% 3.3% 3.2% 3.5% 5.6% 6.1% 12.3% 15.3% 19.4% 23.5%
Catherine Thies 0.9% 1.4% 1.2% 2.0% 2.9% 3.3% 4.1% 4.8% 7.6% 10.9% 14.4% 22.4% 24.1%
Hannah Schmidt 4.3% 4.8% 4.7% 6.6% 7.3% 9.9% 6.5% 10.5% 13.3% 11.7% 10.5% 5.8% 4.1%
Shelby Locke 1.1% 1.5% 1.7% 1.3% 2.4% 2.8% 4.0% 4.0% 6.1% 9.5% 15.3% 20.2% 30.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.