Race 14B

maisa-women-fall-dinghy

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Katia DaSilva 30.1% 23.6% 16.8% 13.0% 6.8% 5.1% 2.3% 1.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Marissa Golison 11.1% 11.8% 14.4% 12.2% 13.4% 10.0% 8.6% 8.1% 5.6% 2.5% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
Hannah Hughes 8.6% 12.3% 10.9% 11.6% 10.9% 12.2% 10.3% 8.6% 5.9% 5.6% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
India Johnstone 11.2% 10.2% 11.9% 13.6% 10.8% 10.5% 9.4% 7.3% 7.1% 5.5% 1.8% 0.5% 0.2%
Sarah Streater 8.5% 7.6% 10.2% 10.1% 9.4% 9.7% 11.0% 11.0% 8.6% 7.3% 4.2% 2.2% 0.2%
Christine Moloney 6.8% 7.6% 8.7% 9.2% 9.3% 9.4% 12.8% 10.5% 8.9% 8.1% 5.8% 2.3% 0.6%
Jackie Muru 2.8% 2.7% 2.2% 2.9% 4.4% 4.4% 6.0% 6.1% 9.0% 11.6% 17.5% 18.2% 12.2%
Johanna Monro 5.4% 7.6% 6.4% 6.5% 8.1% 10.3% 9.4% 12.3% 11.2% 11.2% 7.2% 3.3% 1.1%
Quinn Howes 6.4% 8.3% 7.9% 8.6% 11.5% 10.8% 10.2% 9.3% 10.4% 8.2% 5.0% 2.3% 1.1%
Hannah Schmidt 6.0% 4.4% 5.2% 6.6% 7.4% 10.0% 8.5% 10.1% 11.6% 11.5% 8.9% 7.1% 2.7%
Catherine Thies 1.0% 1.3% 1.3% 1.8% 3.1% 2.7% 4.2% 5.1% 7.3% 9.1% 15.9% 21.6% 25.6%
Colleen Roney 1.0% 1.2% 2.5% 2.0% 2.9% 2.5% 4.9% 4.6% 6.1% 9.7% 15.2% 22.1% 25.3%
Shelby Locke 1.1% 1.4% 1.6% 1.9% 2.0% 2.4% 2.4% 5.5% 7.8% 9.4% 14.6% 19.2% 30.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.