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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.95+6.39vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.56+7.08vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy3.34+7.04vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.49+4.95vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University4.51+0.10vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College3.02+5.13vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.58+1.71vs Predicted
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8Tufts University3.56+0.75vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.89-1.73vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University3.04+1.28vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87-3.41vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.65+0.95vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.99-1.95vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island2.93-2.89vs Predicted
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15Brown University3.23-4.77vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University3.36-6.27vs Predicted
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17Boston University3.63-8.34vs Predicted
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18Eckerd College2.77-6.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.39College of Charleston3.950.1%1st Place
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9.08St. Mary's College of Maryland3.560.0%1st Place
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10.04U. S. Naval Academy3.340.0%1st Place
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8.95Boston College3.490.1%1st Place
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5.1Georgetown University4.510.2%1st Place
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11.13Connecticut College3.020.0%1st Place
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8.71Dartmouth College3.580.1%1st Place
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8.75Tufts University3.560.1%1st Place
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7.27Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
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11.28Roger Williams University3.040.0%1st Place
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7.59Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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12.95Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.650.0%1st Place
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11.05Harvard University2.990.0%1st Place
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11.11University of Rhode Island2.930.0%1st Place
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10.23Brown University3.230.0%1st Place
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9.73Salve Regina University3.360.0%1st Place
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8.66Boston University3.630.1%1st Place
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11.98Eckerd College2.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Spector | 7.6% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Frederick Whitman | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 1.7% |
| Devin Laviano | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 3.5% |
| Daniel Bloomstine | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.3% |
| Sydney Bolger | 16.8% | 14.9% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Wells Bacon | 3.6% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 10.2% |
| Edward Glackin | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 1.8% |
| Nicolas Russo-Larsson | 5.2% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 2.4% |
| Cam Cullman | 7.6% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| Tucker Blagden | 4.0% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 8.8% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 8.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.0% |
| Steven Drapcho | 1.8% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 13.2% | 22.3% |
| Colin Santangelo | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 8.9% |
| James Simmons | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 10.1% |
| Tyler Rice | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 4.9% |
| Kyle Carney | 4.3% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.3% |
| Daniel Perkins | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.9% |
| Jeff Hahl | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 13.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.